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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

2028 Presidential Election: Maine Winner

2028 Presidential Election: Maine Winner
Vol

PM $2.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Democratic Party at 78%.

Polymarket

  1. Democratic Party78%
  2. Republican Party14.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.5K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election. A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have. This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the statewide Maine results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used. This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

PM $722.72M · K 78.05M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.8%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

K 145.0K contracts
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8.5%
Will Jon Ossoff defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Jon Ossoff as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8%
Will JD Vance defeat Gavin Newsom in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?Yes 8%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

K 39.7K contracts
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)Yes 11%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)Yes 7.5%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Jon Ossoff)Yes 7%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

PM $23.5K
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 51%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 29%
Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 5.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

K 25.3K contracts
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?Yes 12.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?Yes 11.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?Yes 10.5%
+11 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?

K 50.8K contracts
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 41%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 28%
Will Donald Trump endorse no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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