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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?

Melania Trump meets with ___ by December 31, 2026?
Vol

PM $1.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Zelenskyy at 21%.

Polymarket

  1. Zelenskyy21%
  2. Putin15%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.1K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump meets with the listed individual (Vladimir Putin or Volodymyr Zelenskyy) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Melania Trump and the listed individual are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

PM $1.98M
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 42%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

PM $752.1K
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 55%
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 46%
Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes 20%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

PM $11.6K
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.8%
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

PM $8.8K
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?Yes 53.5%
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

PM $202.9K · K 708.3K contracts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?

Needs review

PM Yes 20.5%Review neededK Yes 28.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 6%Review neededK Yes 11.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026?

Needs review

PM Yes 1.1%Review neededK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

PM $47.46M · K 10.55M contracts

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Kalshi: Will there be no U.S. acquisition of Greenland during Trump's term?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 90.3%

Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Trump buy Greenland? (Before 2027)

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 3%

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.4%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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