Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Name: Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.42K

Events

Markets

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Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.42K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.42K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

14%

Top Probability

$6.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (350 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

349d 11h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Polymarket

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/b7yj5Q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?"></iframe>

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Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

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Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)