Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Vol

PM $136.3K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Bola Tinubu at 70%.

Polymarket

  1. Bola Tinubu70%
  2. Peter Obi24%
  3. Omoyele Sowore0.7%
  4. Rabiu Kwankwaso0.4%
  5. Rotimi Amaechi0.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $136.3K

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Nigerian presidential election winner?

Nigerian presidential election winner?

K 14.0K contracts
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Bola Tinubu)Yes 71.5%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Peter Obi)Yes 24%
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? (Atiku Abubakar)Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

PM $719.85M · K 77.16M contracts

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (J.D. Vance)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 19.1%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 13%Rules differK Yes 8%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next presidential election? (Gavin Newsom)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.6%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $1.15M · K 81.3K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 52.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 46.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

40 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

PM $157.55M · K 1.27M contracts

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 43.5%Rules differK Yes 49.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 14.1%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

29 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $608.9K
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92.5%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 92%
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 87.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

PM $459.9K
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 86.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 38.5%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 35.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market