GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Haiti elections delayed again?

Name: Haiti elections delayed again?
End: 2026-12-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$64.91

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Haiti elections delayed again?

Vol

$64.91

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $64.91

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $64.91

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Haiti elections delayed again?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Haiti elections delayed again?	Poly	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$64.91

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on ⁠December 13, 2026, with a potential second round set for February 21, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after December 13, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Haiti elections delayed again?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 13, 2026 (100 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on ⁠December 13, 2026, with a potential second round set for February 21, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after December 13, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on ⁠December 13, 2026, with a potential second round set for February 21, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $65
* **Total Liquidity:** $265
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Haiti elections delayed again?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 13, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics