This contract asks whether the first round of Haiti's 2026 legislative and presidential elections will be delayed. According to the Polymarket event record, the first round is currently scheduled for December 13, 2026, with a potential second round set for February 21, 2027 [1]. The market follows an earlier series of postponements, and its wording makes clear that the date it uses is the reference point for resolution rather than a confirmed outcome [1]. The contract covers both the presidential vote and the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés) [1]. Under the rules, a "Yes" resolution occurs if the first round is rescheduled to take place after December 13, 2026, or if it otherwise does not take place by December 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET [1]. A "No" resolution occurs otherwise [1]. The primary source for resolution is official information from the Haitian government, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The event record lists an end time of February 22, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, which falls after the scheduled first and potential second rounds [1]. The listed end time is a provider field and should not be read as the date on which the election outcome becomes known.

Historical Context

Haiti has a history of postponed elections. The 2015 presidential election was held on 25 October 2015 alongside local elections and the second round of the legislative elections [2]. Because no candidate won a majority in the first round, a runoff was scheduled for 27 December 2015, but the Conseil Electoral Provisoire announced its postponement indefinitely on 22 December [2]. The runoff date was changed several times in early January 2016, and after rioting and electoral violence, the Conseil Electoral Provisoire postponed the second round again on 22 January 2016 with no specific date given [2]. The run-off was later agreed to take place on 24 April 2016 [2]. This history is background for the current contract and does not establish what will happen in 2026. The Senate is the upper house of Haiti's bicameral legislature, and it has thirty seats, with three members from each of the ten administrative departments [3]. Senators are elected by popular vote to six-year terms, with one-third elected every two years [3]. Because the contract covers the Senate and Chamber of Deputies, these legislative structures help explain why the question refers to more than one body [1][3].

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