Name: How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

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How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30? | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Poly	82%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Poly	36%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	Poly	14%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (73 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket un

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Onl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $54.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $38.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $17.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $18.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $17.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

72d 11h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

Polymarket

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Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

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Events (1)

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

Markets (3)

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

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Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

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How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

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