Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PM $19.2K
1
1
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PM $19.2K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 6% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes6%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $19.2K
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1K
Who will run for president in 2028?
K 14.1K contracts
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PM $2.01B · K 316.10M contractsWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Kalshi: Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? (Pete Buttigieg)
Related contracts
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Kalshi: Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? (Pete Buttigieg)
Related contracts
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Kalshi: Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? (Andy Beshear)
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $14.1K
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
PM $68.0K · K 46.2K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Kalshi: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Kalshi: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.2K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
