Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Colima Governor Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $39.2K

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Markets

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Colima Governor Election Winner

Vol

PM $39.2K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera at 83.5%.

Polymarket

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera83.5%
Joel Padilla Peña6.5%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez3.9%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez3.7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

22 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	83.5%
Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	6.5%
Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	4.0%
Will Griselda Martínez Martínez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	3.9%
Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	3.7%
Will Margarita Moreno González win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	3.3%
Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	2.9%
Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	2.3%
Will Mely Romero Celis win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.7%
Will Viridiana Valencia Vargas win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Sofía Peralta Ferro win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.4%
Will Ana Karen Hernández Aceves win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will José Manuel Romero Coello win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Enrique Rojas Orozco win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will María Cristina Lupien win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.3%
Will Esther Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.2%
Will Hilda Lizette Moreno win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.2%
Will César Yáñez Centeno win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%
Will José Israel González win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?	Poly	0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $39.2K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Colima Governor Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $39.2K
Coverage: 22 of 22 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358400; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rosa-maria-bayardo-cabrera-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852321
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $24.9K
Outcome Yes: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358401; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mario-delgado-carrillo-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852322
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: 2.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will César Yáñez Centeno win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358402; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cesar-yanez-centeno-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852323
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $501.45
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358403; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-leoncio-alfonso-moran-sanchez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852324
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $475.69
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Viridiana Valencia Vargas win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358404; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-viridiana-valencia-vargas-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852325
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $543.59
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358405; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gricelda-valencia-de-la-mora-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852326
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.0K
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Ana Karen Hernández Aceves win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358406; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ana-karen-hernandez-aceves-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852327
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $508.72
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358407; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-joel-padilla-pena-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852328
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $505.14
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358408; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-virgilio-mendoza-amezcua-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852329
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $501.4
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358409; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gabriela-benavides-cobos-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852330
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $701.95
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will José Manuel Romero Coello win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358410; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jose-manuel-romero-coello-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852331
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $541.73
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358411; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-riult-rivera-gutierrez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852332
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.4K
Outcome Yes: 3.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358412; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-julia-licet-jimenez-angulo-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852333
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $491.52
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Sofía Peralta Ferro win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358413; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sofia-peralta-ferro-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852334
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $513.72
Outcome Yes: 0.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Mely Romero Celis win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358414; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mely-romero-celis-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852335
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $537.39
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Enrique Rojas Orozco win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358415; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-enrique-rojas-orozco-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852336
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $532.38
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Esther Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358416; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-esther-gutierrez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852337
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $512.46
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Hilda Lizette Moreno win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358417; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hilda-lizette-moreno-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852338
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $447.51
Outcome Yes: 0.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Griselda Martínez Martínez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358418; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-griselda-martinez-martinez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852339
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.2K
Outcome Yes: 3.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.1%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will Margarita Moreno González win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358419; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-margarita-moreno-gonzalez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852340
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $578.5
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will María Cristina Lupien win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358420; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-maria-cristina-lupien-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852341
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $531.13
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Contract: Will José Israel González win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3358421; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jose-israel-gonzalez-win-the-2027-colima-governor-election-20260803173852342
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $502.76
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Colima Governor Election Winner

Volume$39.18K

Markets22

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Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Yes: 83.5¢
No: 16.5¢

Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Joel Padilla Peña win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Yes: 6.5¢
No: 93.5¢

Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Gabriela Benavides Cobos win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Yes: 4.0¢
No: 96.0¢

Will Griselda Martínez Martínez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Griselda Martínez Martínez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Yes: 3.9¢
No: 96.1¢

Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

polymarket

Will Riult Rivera Gutiérrez win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Yes: 3.7¢
No: 96.3¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Xavier Becerra)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in California? (Steve Hilton)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

PM $1.58M · K 842.6K contracts

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 81.5%

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bernadette Wilson)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 15.5%

Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Kalshi: Who will win the governorship in Alaska? (Bill Walker)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

14 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

PM $61.8K

Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 41.1%

Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 33.1%

Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes 10.1%

+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

PM $33.9K

Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 70.7%

Will Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 8.5%

Will Manuel Cota Jiménez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Yes 5.1%

+19 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

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Next Market Deadline

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Jun 07, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Colima Governor Election Winner

Colima Governor Election Winner

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