GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$24.85K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	41%
Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	38%
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will José María Alberto Arcila Corales win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Luis Ángel Zavala Espino win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will José Rodar Miranda Prado win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$24.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $153.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will José Rodar Miranda Prado win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $446
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will José María Alberto Arcila Corales win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $573
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $603
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $682
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Luis Ángel Zavala Espino win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $776
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $748
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $855
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $660
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $638
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics