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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

CA-07 Primary Winners

Name: CA-07 Primary Winners
End: 2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.43K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

CA-07 Primary Winners

Vol

$7.43K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.43K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.43K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	91%
Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	76%
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	20%
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	8%
Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	6%
Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$7.43K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CA-07 Primary Winners
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $22.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $849
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 2, 2026): Vol $814
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics