Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Quito Mayoral Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $2.8K

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Quito Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

PM $2.8K

Events

Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Pabel Muñoz at 54%.

Polymarket

Pabel Muñoz54%
Jorge Yunda15%
Harold Burbano13.5%
Linda Romero12%
Carla Larrea9%

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Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	54.0%
Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	15.0%
Will Harold Burbano win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	13.5%
Will Linda Romero win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	12.0%
Will Carla Larrea win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	9.0%
Will César Díaz win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	7.0%
Will Paúl Desamblanc win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	5.5%
Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	4.0%
Will Galo Almeida win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	3.0%
Will Bernardo Jijón win the next Quito mayoral election?	Poly	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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PM $2.8K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

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Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Quito Mayoral Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $2.8K
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329508; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-pabel-munoz-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $523.82
Outcome Yes: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Jorge Yunda win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329509; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jorge-yunda-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $185.37
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Harold Burbano win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329510; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-harold-burbano-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $315.57
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Wilson Merino win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329511; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-wilson-merino-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $436.43
Outcome Yes: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Carla Larrea win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329512; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carla-larrea-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $483.84
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Linda Romero win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329513; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-linda-romero-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $329.77
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Paúl Desamblanc win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329514; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-paul-desamblanc-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $86.45
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Galo Almeida win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329515; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-galo-almeida-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $146.27
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will Bernardo Jijón win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329516; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bernardo-jijon-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $131.29
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Contract: Will César Díaz win the next Quito mayoral election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6329517; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cesar-diaz-win-the-next-quito-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 30, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $159.66
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Quito, Ecuador mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on November 29, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Quito as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ecuadorian government, including the National Electoral Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral, CNE, https://www.cne.gob.ec) and the Contentious Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Contencioso Electoral, TCE, https://www.tce.gob.ec).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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