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When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

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When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?	Kalshi	20%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

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Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confirms it has received such a filing, to remove him from the 2026 general election ballot. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the pur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confirms it has received such a filing, to remove him from the 2026 general election ballot. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the pur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race  after Issuance and before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
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KALSHIPolitics

When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

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KALSHI

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi

KALSHI

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi

KALSHI

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi

KALSHI

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi

KALSHI

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race after Issuance and before Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Officially withdraws” means Graham Platner files a withdrawal notice with the Maine Secretary of State’s Elections office, or the office confi

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When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

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Events (1)

When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

Markets (5)

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 14, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 13, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 12, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 11, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine Senate race before Jul 10, 2026?

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