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Events
GroupKALSHI
How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
How many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
Vol

K 3.7K contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

8

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 8 at 86%.

Kalshi

  1. At least 886%
  2. At least 1281.5%
  3. At least 1650.5%
  4. At least 2415%
  5. At least 2214.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 3.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

8

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?

How many votes will Schumer get on the first Senate leader ballot?

K 4.5K contracts
Will Schumer get at least 24 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 91.5%
Will Schumer get at least 28 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 91%
Will Schumer get at least 36 votes on the first Senate leader ballot?Yes 84.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

K 17.3K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 95.5%
Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 92.5%
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 83.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

K 35.1K contracts
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 93.5%
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 90.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?Yes 89%
+30 moreNext deadline Jan 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

K 35.2K contracts
Will Jeffries get at least 240 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 93.5%
Will Jeffries get at least 246 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 84.5%
Will Jeffries get at least 243 votes on the first Speaker ballot?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

PM $2.06B · K 397.38M contracts

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? (Pete Buttigieg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.3%Rules differK Yes 94.9%

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Kalshi: Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? (Pete Buttigieg)

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.9%Rules differK Yes 94.9%

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Kalshi: Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 93.9%Rules differK Yes 10%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

451 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next Senate Democratic Leader?

Next Senate Democratic Leader?

K 11.44M contracts
Will Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 90.8%
Will Chris Van Hollen win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 8.5%
Will Brian Schatz win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?Yes 0.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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