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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Vol

PM $3.1K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 9.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes9.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.1K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality. Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiWorld
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

PM $154.31M · K 910.9K contracts

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 46.5%Review neededK Yes 53.5%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 18.5%Review neededK Yes 15.5%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Needs review

PM Yes 11.7%Review neededK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

23 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $570.4K
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 93.7%
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 91.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 86.5%
+43 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

PM $402.5K
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 90.5%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 45.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes 38%
+33 moreNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

K 24.9K contracts
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 97%
Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 96.5%
Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 89%
+20 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

K 65.0K contracts
Will Marine Le Pen finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 84%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 4.5%
Will Jordan Bardella finish 1st in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 3.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

K 25.3K contracts
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 32%
Will Édouard Philippe finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 19.5%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish 3rd in the first round of the next French presidential election?Yes 12%
+11 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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