Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each market in this snapshot asks whether a single named ballot measure will pass. The shared event rules state that a measure "passes" only when it meets all of the listed conditions, including "the minimum percentage of 'Yes' or 'For' votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules," any "minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable," and certification "as passed by the official electoral authority" [1]. The rules also say a certified measure "counts even if a court order delays its publication or enforcement" [1]. The Joliet Township advisory question has its own test: it passes "if a majority of the votes cast on it are 'Yes', regardless of its nonbinding status" [1]. Because each measure has its own threshold and local rules, the wording of one contract should not be compared directly with another without checking those details.

The rules also say the market "may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner" [1]. The event listing shows "Listed end time: not supplied," but each market record carries an end date of 2027-11-10T15:00:00.000Z. That date is a listed close time in the contract data, not an announced election or certification date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T15:00:10.009Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation, not live conditions at the time you read this.

All ten saved Kalshi markets are included, and the sample is not marked partial. Their Yes prices range from 0.495 to 0.505. Most sit at 0.50. Alhambra, California Measure DB is at 0.51 Yes, Trenton, Ohio Issue 17 is at 0.505, Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum is at 0.495, and the rest are at 0.50. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not included in this evidence, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity.

Because every market comes from one provider event, no cross-platform comparison is made here. The small gaps between Yes prices are within a range of 0.01, and the rules differ across measures, so this snapshot does not identify an arbitrage opportunity.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, how many traders hold each position, or what recent events may have affected these measures. It also does not establish how each measure will be certified or when official results will be published. The sample warning notes that the providers' lists may not include every possible real-world outcome [1]. Readers should check the full contract rules and the current listing before relying on any of these figures.

References

1. Kalshi: Which data center ballot measures will pass?. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z.