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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?

Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?
Vol

PM $1.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is February 28 at 53%.

Polymarket

  1. February 2853%
  2. December 3149%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.6K

Reported volume ยท provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

PM $1.11M
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.8%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 76%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?Yes 66%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

PM $404.6K
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 89.1%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

PM $133.9K
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 97.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?Yes 1.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?Yes 0.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

PM $67.5K
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?Yes 3.3%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 29, 2026?Yes 3.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

PM $519.1K
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 64.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

PM $1.66M
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 26%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Yes 8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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