Climate prediction markets
597 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 433-480 of 597 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 19, 2026?
K 75.47 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 39%
Will the minimum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 36%
Will the minimum temperature be >61° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on October 18?
PM $776.98Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
3 mkts
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Boston on Oct 19, 2026?
K 71.59 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 38%
Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 26%
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 18?
PM $772.09Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 18?Yes 95%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 18?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in San Diego on Oct 19, 2026?
K 69.5 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
PM $747Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on October 19?Yes 47%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?
K 46 contractsSnow in Chicago (O'Hare) in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 59.5%
Snow in Chicago (O'Hare) in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 54%
Snow in Chicago (O'Hare) in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 52%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
PM $726.44Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 41.5%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 35%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 18%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Nov 2026?
K 45.99 contractsRain in Austin in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 85%
Rain in Austin in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 78.5%
Rain in Austin in Nov 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 45.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 20?
PM $670.37Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?Yes 38%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Teddy category?
K 40 contractsWill Teddy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 9.5%
Will Teddy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 6.5%
Will Teddy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Milan on October 18?
PM $654.99Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 12°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 18?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Nana category?
K 37.04 contractsWill Nana become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 49%
Will Nana become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 45.5%
Will Nana become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $642.99Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 19?Yes 47.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 19, 2026?
K 34 contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 45%
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October?
PM $614.25Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 95 mph?Yes 95%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 100 mph?Yes 95%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in October be at least 105 mph?Yes 95%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Snow in Milwaukee in Dec 2026?
K 27.32 contractsSnow in Milwaukee in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 59.5%
Snow in Milwaukee in Dec 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 53.5%
Snow in Milwaukee in Dec 2026? (Above 20 inches)Yes 48%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Moscow on October 18?
PM $610.24Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 18?Yes 75.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on October 18?Yes 46%
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on October 18?Yes 46%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Kyle category?
K 25.22 contractsWill Kyle become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 49%
Will Kyle become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 45.5%
Will Kyle become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $559.99Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 14°C or below on October 19?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 19?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Zeke category?
K 25 contractsWill Zeke become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 50.5%
Will Zeke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
Will Zeke become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 19?
PM $557Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C or below on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on October 19?Yes 44%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 19?Yes 44%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Xavier category?
K 20 contractsWill Xavier become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Xavier become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
Will Xavier become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Toronto on October 18?
PM $484.05Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on October 18?Yes 48%
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on October 18?Yes 44.9%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Yolanda category?
K 20 contractsWill Yolanda become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Yolanda become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
Will Yolanda become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 49.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $476.69Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on October 18?Yes 93.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on October 18?Yes 47.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 6°C on October 18?Yes 45%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Columbus in Nov 2026?
K 15.61 contractsRain in Columbus in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 76%
Rain in Columbus in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 74%
Rain in Columbus in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
PM $455Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 20?Yes 33.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in December 2026?
K 14 contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in December 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 50.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in December 2026? (Above 8 inches)Yes 50%
How much will it rain in Napa in December 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on October 18?
PM $446.84Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027?
K 9.15 contractsWill it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027?Yes 58.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 18?
PM $432Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiTech
Rain in Milwaukee in Nov 2026?
K 9 contractsRain in Milwaukee in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 65.5%
Rain in Milwaukee in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 42%
Rain in Milwaukee in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 38%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?
PM $377Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on October 18?Yes 49.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Sierra-at-Tahoe open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 8.19 contractsWill Sierra-at-Tahoe open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 53%
Will Sierra-at-Tahoe open before Jan 10, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Sierra-at-Tahoe open before Jan 3, 2027?Yes 52.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 20?
PM $367.88Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 20?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 20?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in College Station in Nov 2026?
K 7.06 contractsRain in College Station in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 70%
Rain in College Station in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 67%
Rain in College Station in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 65.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on October 19?
PM $355Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 11°C or below on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 15°C on October 19?Yes 43%
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on October 19?Yes 43%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Omar category?
K 4 contractsWill Omar become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Omar become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 34%
Will Omar become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 29.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 20?
PM $349.87Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 20%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Leah category?
K 0 contractsWill Leah become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Leah become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Leah become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Denver on October 18?
PM $321.99Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 45%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Marco category?
K 0 contractsWill Marco become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Marco become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Marco become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18?
PM $319.99Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 85%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 50%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Olana category?
K 0 contractsWill Olana become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 51%
Will Olana become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Olana become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on October 18?
PM $317Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 44-45°F on October 18?Yes 96.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 40-41°F on October 18?Yes 37.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Pena category?
K 0 contractsWill Pena become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Pena become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 50%
Will Pena become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 18?
PM $314Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on October 18?Yes 95%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on October 18?Yes 45.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on October 18?Yes 7%
+8 more