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Showing 5,281-5,328 of 7,492 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Senate margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 67.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Josh Turek runs behind Rob Sand by...?
PM $64.65Will Josh Turek run 3 to 6 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 43.5%
Will Josh Turek run 6 to 9 points behind Rob Sand?Yes 40.5%
Will Josh Turek run ahead of Rob Sand?Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-12 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MI-12?Yes 98.6%
Will Republican win the House race for MI-12?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $64Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 15% or more?Yes 37%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 36%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Governor election: Vivek Ramaswamy vote percent
K 1.6K contractsWill Vivek Ramaswamy receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?Yes 97.5%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $62Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 40% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-50 House election by 0%-10%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 45.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 32.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $61.29Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 41.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 50% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-19 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
K 1.6K contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 17.5%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Highest third-place vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
PM $61Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Yes 62%
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?Yes 58%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 1.6K contractsWill the National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $60M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will the National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $80M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
Will the National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $75M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?
PM $60Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C or below on October 20?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-02 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-02?Yes 92.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-02?Yes 7.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 20?
PM $60Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 62°F or higher on October 20?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-10 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-10?Yes 98.1%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-10?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $59Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MI-03 House election: Terri DeBoer vote percent
K 1.6K contractsWill Terri DeBoer receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Terri DeBoer receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 92%
Will Terri DeBoer receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-03 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 21?
PM $56.77Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 21?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?Yes 27.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
South Africa rate decision in November
PM $50.64 · K 401.47 contractsWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 59.5%Rules differK Yes 55%
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 39.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?
K 1.6K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Hamed Kian in Kian v. FloridaYes 80%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland's 8th District margin of victory
K 1.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?Yes 96.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $50Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026
K 1.6K contractsWill Lyft Inc. report Above 1.01 billion number of rides in fiscal 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 1.02 billion number of rides in fiscal 2026?Yes 81.5%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 1.03 billion number of rides in fiscal 2026?Yes 70.5%
+7 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $50Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House winner?
K 1.6K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-25?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-25?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 20?
PM $48Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 8°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or higher on October 20?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 10°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-26 House election: Dennis Hannon vote percent
K 1.5K contractsWill Dennis Hannon receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Dennis Hannon receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Dennis Hannon receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 81.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $48Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 35% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification?
K 1.5K contractsWill USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $45Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philippine Senate election winner?
K 1.5K contractsWho will win the next Philippine Senate election? (NPC)Yes 44.5%
Who will win the next Philippine Senate election? (PDP)Yes 31.5%
Who will win the next Philippine Senate election? (Nacionalista)Yes 22.5%
3 mktsNext deadline May 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 21?
PM $44.99Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 21?Yes 42%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?Yes 36%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 21?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-05 House winner?
K 1.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-05?Yes 95.3%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-05?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $44.79Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 45% or more?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-03 House winner?
K 1.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for IL-03?Yes 95.7%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-03?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $44.41Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 45% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 1st District margin of victory
K 1.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 1st District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 1st District House election be at least 60 percentage points?Yes 59%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 20, 2026
PM $40Will Oklahoma have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 89.5%
Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50.5%
Will Alabama have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes 50%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026?
K 1.5K contractsSnow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38.5%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 33.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 20?
PM $39Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on October 20?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-07 House winner?
K 1.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-07?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-07?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $38.96Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
K 1.5K contractsWill Together win above 5 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 95%
Will Together win above 10 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 75%
Will Together win above 12 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 62%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on October 20?
PM $35Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 12°C or below on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or higher on October 20?Yes 49%
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C on October 20?Yes 34%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will run for Kentucky Governor in 2027?
K 1.5K contractsWill James Comer announce a run for Governor of Kentucky in 2027?Yes 91%
Will Nate Morris announce a run for Governor of Kentucky in 2027?Yes 59%
Will Thomas Massie announce a run for Governor of Kentucky in 2027?Yes 40%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 20?
PM $24Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 8°C on October 20?Yes 29%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
K 1.5K contractsWill the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 5 from February 2026 to February 2027?Yes 97%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027?Yes 85%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 15 from February 2026 to February 2027?Yes 65%
+4 moreNext deadline Sep 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PM $21Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC