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Showing 5,425-5,472 of 7,857 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $59Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-47 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
South Africa rate decision in November
PM $50.64 · K 401.47 contractsWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 59.5%Rules differK Yes 55%
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 30.5%Rules differK Yes 44%
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Aaron Ford receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 96.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 89.5%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada?Yes 74%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-29 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for TX-29?Yes 97.4%
Will Republican win the House race for TX-29?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $50Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election?Yes 38%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-28 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor election: Cindy Holscher vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Cindy Holscher receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Cindy Holscher receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election?Yes 86%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $50Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-33 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Bill Hagerty receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bill Hagerty receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?Yes 94%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $48Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 35% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-46 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will France declare a state of emergency?
K 2.0K contractsWill France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27%
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $45Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill William Timmons receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 94%
Will William Timmons receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 87%
Will William Timmons receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $44.79Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 45% or more?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 39%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DE-AL House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for DE-AL?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $44.41Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 45% or more?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 66%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
PM $39.87Will Apple (AAPL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) have the biggest single-day move of the Mag 7 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-13 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-13?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $38.96Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election?Yes 38.1%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 37.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-09 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
K 2.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 230000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 74.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Florida 12 House General Election be above 310000?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?
PM $36.23Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes 49.5%
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 35.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Cobb County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
K 2.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 98.5%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 94%
Will Jon Ossoff receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Cobb County, Georgia?Yes 80%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PM $21Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate election: Julia Letlow vote percent
K 2.0K contractsWill Julia Letlow receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 88%
Will Julia Letlow receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 76.5%
Will Julia Letlow receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Louisiana Senate election?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?
PM $20.02Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announce a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 39%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 38.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?
K 2.0K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit rule affirms the April 8, 2025 preliminary injunction as it applies to the Oval Office, Air Force One or Mar-a-Lago?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition
PM $15California Public Campaign Financing PropositionYes 29%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 22%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Kansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 10.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
How many Codex resets week of October 19?
PM $7.06Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19?Yes 47%
Will there be exactly 1 Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 19?Yes 46.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 83%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $6.34Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election?Yes 37.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 2nd District margin of victory
K 2.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 94%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oregon's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $1.69Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-09 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-03 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MA-03?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for MA-03?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?
PM $0Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Yes 47.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the House pass additional defense funding?
K 2.0K contractsWill legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations passed the House before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations passed the House before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)
PM $0Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?Yes 65.5%
Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Kentucky Governor?Yes 36%
2 mktsNext deadline May 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
K 2.0K contractsWill Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 79.5%
Will SP-Congress alliance win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 20.5%
Will Bahujan Samaj Party win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline May 21, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by...?
PM $0Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by December 31, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by November 30, 2026?Yes 53.5%
Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by October 31, 2026?Yes 50%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?
K 2.0K contractsWill Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 28%
Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 17%
Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $0Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 39%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-30 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?
K 2.0K contractsAbove 8.1%Yes 38.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $0Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 39.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 38.5%
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-31 House election by 30% or more?Yes 38%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-15 House winner?
K 2.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-15?Yes 97.6%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-15?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $0Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 12% or more?Yes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC