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Showing 673-720 of 1,704 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.8KWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 38.8%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3
K 15.5K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 83.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Elon Bull Run Combo
PM $12.6KElon Bull Run ComboYes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Post Malone: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 15.4K contractsWill Post Malone have above 5.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94%
Will Post Malone have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Post Malone have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 75%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
PM $12.6KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 71%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.2%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 19?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 19?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
K 15.3K contractsWill Papua New Guinea the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 58.5%
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 19?
PM $12.4KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 19?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in May 2027
K 15.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in May 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in May 2027?Yes 66.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in May 2027?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PM $12.3KRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Atlanta: Team Specials
K 15.1K contractsKyle Pitts Sr. records 150+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 50.5%
Tua Tagovailoa records 1500+ passing yards?Yes 48%
Zachariah Branch records 80+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 47.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $12.3KWill there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 89.1%
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 11.1%
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

#3 song on Spotify in 2026?
K 15.0K contractsWill Beauty and a Beat be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 71%
Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will SWIM be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 6%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
PM $12.2KWill more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.9%
Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 98.5%
Will more than 585,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
K 14.9K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 780 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 800 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 810 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?Yes 56.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?
PM $12.2KNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 85%
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 35%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 58%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $12.2KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026
K 14.9K contractsWill Yumi Nu wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Stella Maxwell wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Precious Lee wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Helsinki on October 19?
PM $12.2KWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Yes 45%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Big Ten: Passing Yards Leader
K 14.8K contractsJayden Maiava records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 35.5%
Ryan Browne records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 24%
Dante Moore records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 22%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Denver on October 19?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 8%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 14.8K contractsWill there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 66%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 18?
PM $12.0KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 18.5%
+8 more
KalshiElections

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
K 14.8K contractsWill NJ TRANSIT's systemwide monthly rail on-time performance, all causes (not the Amtrak-adjusted figure) be above 90 in November 2026?Yes 24%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?
PM $12.0KWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 20%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Yes 19.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture

Call Her Daddy: Guests this year
K 14.7K contractsWill Jennifer Lopez go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20%
Will Paige Lorenze go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 20%
Will Sydney Sweeney go on Call Her Daddy?Yes 19.5%
+38 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Milan on October 19?
PM $11.8KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?Yes 35%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 14.7K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $11.7KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19?Yes 56%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 19?Yes 3.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 60.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 16%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Moonshot)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $11.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 27%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 21.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
K 14.5K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?
PM $11.3KNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

New Orleans vs New York G: Fantasy Points
K 14.3K contractsJameis Winston: Over 13.5 fantasy pointsYes 59.5%
Isaiah Likely: Over 13.1 fantasy pointsYes 57.5%
Malik Nabers: Over 14 fantasy pointsYes 49%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.2KWill Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 22%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?
K 14.3K contractsRain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Chicago vs Atlanta: Fantasy Points
K 14.2K contractsColston Loveland: Over 10.1 fantasy pointsYes 99.5%
D'Andre Swift: Over 15.1 fantasy pointsYes 68.5%
Luther Burden III: Over 12.2 fantasy pointsYes 44%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 45%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 35.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate

Highest temperature in Boston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 61%
Will the maximum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.6%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.9K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 60%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 19?
PM $11.0KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
K 13.8K contractsWill Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 44%
Will Bank of Canada cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Yes 2.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?
PM $11.0KNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 23.4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC