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Showing 721-768 of 1,662 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
PM $11.1KScrewworm National Emergency declared by December 31?Yes 14%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?Yes 6.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Yes 58%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 36.5%
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 35.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.5K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77.5%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
PM $11.1KWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 13.5K contractsTre Tucker Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 7%
Brock Bowers Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 6.9%
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chongqing on October 19?
PM $11.1KWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 19?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 19?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Drake: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 13.4K contractsWill Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Drake have above 11.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Drake have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $11.1KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Trudy category?
K 13.3K contractsWill Trudy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?
PM $11.0KNext Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 22.6%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.3K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $11.0KWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
YoungBoy Never Broke Again Streams in 2026
K 13.2K contractsWill YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 8500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
PM $11.0KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 19?Yes 94.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 19?Yes 5.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 19?Yes 5.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 13.2K contractsWill Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PM $11.0KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.8%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla headcount in 2026
K 13.1K contractsWill Tesla, Inc. report above 120000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 86%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PM $11.0KWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes 9.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 13.1K contractsWill India meet its climate goals?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
PM $10.8KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 17.3%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Yes 6.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 13.0K contractsMateusz Gamrot to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Benoit Saint-Denis to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Alexander Volkanovski to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 19?
PM $10.8KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 19?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
K 13.0K contractsWill Vail Resorts report Above 450,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 500,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 47.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 400,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 40.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?
PM $10.6KWill the Ornn B200 Index be less than $7.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?Yes 21%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on November 30, 2026?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
K 13.0K contractsWill there be more than 25 tornadoes in October?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?Yes 71.5%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?Yes 24%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?
PM $10.6KNext Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 55%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
X re-launches Vine this year?
K 12.8K contractsX re-launches Vine in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?
PM $10.6KNext Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 76%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total production in 2026
K 12.8K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total production in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total production in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total production in 2026?Yes 96%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
PM $10.5KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Future: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 12.7K contractsWill Future have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Future have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Future have above 6M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
PM $10.4KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 99.2%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes 83.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1
K 12.6K contractsWill Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 22.4 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.3 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 94%
Will Carnival Corporation Ltd. report Above 23.2 million available lower berth days in Q1 2027?Yes 93.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jun 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?
PM $10.3KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?Yes 11%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?
K 12.5K contractsWill Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?Yes 83%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $10.1KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
K 12.4K contractsWill Casa Tupka Anthemo rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 19, 2026?Yes 15%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?
PM $9.9KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?Yes 54%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
K 12.3K contractsWill Obsession be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 39.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 30.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 8.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PM $9.7KWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes 97.3%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $9.7K · K 6.3K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 71.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
K 12.2K contractsWill Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released?
K 12.2K contractsWill the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 90%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 87%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?
PM $9.7KTesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
K 12.1K contractsWill Reddit Inc. report Above 136 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 138 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 78%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 140 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
PM $9.5KWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC