Politics prediction markets
6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 865-912 of 6,945 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?
K 38.8K contractsWill Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 23%
Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 20%
Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 14.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?
PM $110.3KEritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Yes 10.5%
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Yes 10.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
K 38.7K contractsWill Trump recognize Somaliland?Yes 11.5%
Will Trump recognize the Republic of China?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mexico Legislative Election Winner
PM $109.9KWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 85.4%
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 6.5%
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
K 38.7K contractsWill Swedish Social Democratic Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 79.5%
Will Green Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 67%
Will Centre Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 48%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-07 House Election Winner
PM $109.3KWill the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes 83%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
K 38.4K contractsWill a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?Yes 6.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?
PM $109.0KWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Yes 20.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Yes 17.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Yes 17%
+18 moreNext deadline Aug 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
K 38.4K contractsWill Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?Yes 92.5%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-05 House Election Winner
PM $108.3KWill the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MS-02 House winner?
K 38.4K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MS-02?Yes 96.6%
Will Republican win the House race for MS-02?Yes 2.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
PM $108.1KAnother critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes 1.8%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%
2 mkts
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?
K 38.2K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Hottest)Yes 93.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-16 House Election Winner
PM $107.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-48 House winner?
K 38.2K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-48?Yes 92.1%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-48?Yes 7.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
PM $107.1KWill Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes 18.5%
Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes 14%
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes 12.5%
+14 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Taipei mayoral election winner?
K 38.1K contractsWill Su Chiao-hui win the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election?Yes 69.5%
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election?Yes 33.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PM $106.9KLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
K 37.9K contractsWill Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-03 House Election Winner
PM $106.7KWill the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?
K 37.9K contractsWill any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
PM $106.2KWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many bills will Trump veto in 2026?
K 37.8K contractsWill Trump veto at least 1 bill before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Will Trump veto at least 2 bills before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
Will Trump veto at least 3 bills before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PM $105.1KWill Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 95.1%
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes 2.6%
2 mkts
KalshiPolitics
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
K 37.7K contractsWill Rand Paul vote for Kari Lake?Yes 47%
Will Susan Collins vote for Kari Lake?Yes 30.5%
Will Lisa Murkowski vote for Kari Lake?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
PM $104.0KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes 61%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes 39%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
K 37.7K contractsWill John Day be the Democratic nominee for LA-03?Yes 16%
Will Caleb Walker be the Democratic nominee for LA-03?Yes 2.7%
Will Tia LeBrun be the Democratic nominee for LA-03?Yes 2.4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-02 House Election Winner
PM $103.8KWill the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)
K 37.6K contractsWill the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 18, 2026 and Oct 24, 2026?Yes 99%
Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 18, 2026 and Oct 24, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 18, 2026 and Oct 24, 2026?Yes 38%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-02 House Election Winner
PM $103.2KWill the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will Trump make IVF free?
K 37.5K contractsWill Trump make IVF free?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-23 House Election Winner
PM $102.7KWill the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes 98.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes 1.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
K 37.4K contractsWhen will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public?Yes 74%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
PM $102.5KWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Yes 4.8%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
K 37.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?
PM $102.3KWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Yes 96.1%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Yes 1.9%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?Yes 1.6%
+29 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
College Football FCS National Championship Winner
K 37.3K contractsMontana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 seasonYes 35%
South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 seasonYes 32.5%
Stephen F. Austin wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 seasonYes 11.5%
+125 moreNext deadline Jan 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-14 House Election Winner
PM $101.9KWill the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor winner?
PM $101.3K · K 509.3K contractsWill the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Minnesota
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.5%Rules differK Yes 94.8%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.1%Rules differK Yes 5.3%
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2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?
K 37.2K contractsWill the Republican party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?Yes 72.5%
Will the Democratic party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
K 37.1K contractsWill Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes 2.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?
PM $100.7KWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Senate margin of victory
K 37.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 33.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 16.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WV-02 House Election Winner
PM $100.6KWill the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Yes 96.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-10 House winner?
K 37.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-10?Yes 97.2%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-10?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
PM $100.4KWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
K 37.0K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027?Yes 5.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Another Canada election called by...?
PM $99.9KAnother Canada election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC