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Showing 1,057-1,104 of 2,029 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama
K 13.6K contractsWill Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

CMA Song of the Year 2026
PM $4.5KWill “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 71%
Will “Be Her” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 8.5%
Will “Beautiful Things” by Megan Moroney win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?
K 13.6K contractsWill Port of Baltimore container volume for 2026 be above 1,113,309 TEUs?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PM $4.4KHasan Piker arrested in 2026?Yes 12.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?
PM $4.4KReckless Ben in jail by December 31?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations
PM $4.3KWill "The Baddest Speechwriter of All" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will "Oh Whale" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 42%
Will "A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 40.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.5K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 77%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PM $4.3KCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series
K 13.5K contractsWill Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88%
Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $4.3KWill Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $20 by June 30, 2027?Yes 77%
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?Yes 3.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Billie Eilish Streams in 2026
K 13.5K contractsWill Billie Eilish have 9750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Billie Eilish have 9250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
PM $4.2KWill "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 99.3%
Will "Norm: The Tale of Norm Macdonald" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 1.1%
Will "Sacrifice" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes 0.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Taylor Swift · Weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026
K 13.5K contractsWill Taylor Swift spend 5 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Taylor Swift spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Taylor Swift spend 7 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Yes 46.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?
PM $4.1KWill Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Don Toliver Streams in 2026
K 13.4K contractsWill Don Toliver have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Don Toliver have 8750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Don Toliver have 7750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Winner
PM $4.1KWill The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 37.5%
Will A Derailment win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 16.5%
Will Water Cooler win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 12.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

SZA Streams in 2026
K 13.4K contractsWill SZA have 7500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will SZA have 7250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will SZA have 7000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Grok (Web) Outage by...?
PM $4.0KGrok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?Yes 42.5%
Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?Yes 28%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Culinary Instructional Series
K 13.4K contractsWill Delicious Miss Brown win the Outstanding Culinary Instructional Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 41%
Will Pati’s Mexican Table win the Outstanding Culinary Instructional Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 26.5%
Will Be My Guest with Ina Garten win the Outstanding Culinary Instructional Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 15%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?
PM $3.8KLindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor
K 13.3K contractsWill Scott Clifton win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 39%
Will Eric Braeden win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 38.5%
Will Steve Burton win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?
PM $3.7KWill Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B?Yes 76%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?Yes 72.5%
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $46B?Yes 39.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Culinary Cultural Series
K 13.2K contractsWill America The Bountiful win the Outstanding Culinary Cultural Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 39%
Will Lucky Chow win the Outstanding Culinary Cultural Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 25.5%
Will Fork & Hammer win the Outstanding Culinary Cultural Series award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Meta headcount above __ in Q3?
PM $3.7KWill Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000?Yes 90.6%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?Yes 72.5%
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 70000?Yes 45.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

YoungBoy Never Broke Again Streams in 2026
K 13.2K contractsWill YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have 8500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
PM $3.7KElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

Taylor Swift Streams in 2026
K 13.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift have 23000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 93%
Will Taylor Swift have 26500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 91%
Will Taylor Swift have 25000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 90%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
PM $3.6KWill a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Tesla headcount in 2026
K 13.1K contractsWill Tesla, Inc. report above 120000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 125000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 130000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?Yes 86%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31
PM $3.5KWill "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Yes 51.5%
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Yes 34%
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?Yes 12%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Justin Bieber Streams in 2026
K 13.0K contractsWill Justin Bieber have 15500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Justin Bieber have 17500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Justin Bieber have 15000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
PM $3.4KWill Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 79.5%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 7.2%
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Yes 5.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Lightweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 13.0K contractsMateusz Gamrot to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Islam Makhachev to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Dan Hooker to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Muse Charm released by...?
PM $3.4KMuse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Yes 63%
Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Yes 58.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1
K 13.0K contractsWill Vail Resorts report Above 450,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 500,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 47.5%
Will Vail Resorts report Above 400,000 skier visits in Q1 2027?Yes 40.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $3.4KWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Harry Styles Streams in 2026
K 13.0K contractsWill Harry Styles have 6750000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Harry Styles have 6500000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Harry Styles have 7250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 60%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?
PM $3.4KWill Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 43%
Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
K 12.9K contractsWill The Debut be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will The Invite be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88%
Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 87.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
PM $3.4KWill Shrek 5 be delayed?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies

X re-launches Vine this year?
K 12.8K contractsX re-launches Vine in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?
PM $3.3KWill China become the #2 global art market in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actress
K 12.8K contractsWill Tamara Tunie win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actress award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 56%
Will Karla Mosley win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actress award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 18.5%
Will Michelle Stafford win the Outstanding Lead Performer in a Daytime Drama Series: Actress award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 16.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?
PM $3.3KWill OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 19.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 19?Yes 14.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
K 12.8K contractsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

When will Project Helix be released?
PM $3.2KProject Helix release by December 31, 2026?Yes 33.5%
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027?Yes 33%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC