Climate prediction markets
554 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 97-144 of 554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 18, 2026?
K 17.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 18?
PM $28.7KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 18?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 18?Yes 10.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?
K 17.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 36%
Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PM $28.1KWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes 68%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?Yes 12.6%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
US solar capacity installed in 2026
K 16.7K contractsWill at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 92.3%
Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 71.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong will Trudy be?
PM $27.7KWill Trudy peak at Category 3?Yes 98.5%
Will Trudy peak at Category 4?Yes 1.5%
Will Trudy peak at Category 1 or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 14.7K contractsWill there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 79%
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 66%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
PM $26.9KWill there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 34.5%
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 32%
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 18, 2026?
K 14.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 62-63° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 45%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 18?
PM $25.4KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 18?Yes 89.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18?Yes 9%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
K 14.5K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 18?
PM $25.0KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 18?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18?Yes 20%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?
K 14.3K contractsRain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 17.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 7.5%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?
PM $24.6KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 18?Yes 0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
K 13.8K contractsRain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 60.5%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 16%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 18?
PM $24.5KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Trudy category?
K 13.3K contractsWill Trudy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
PM $24.3KWill the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Yes 59.4%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Yes 15.5%
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?
K 13.2K contractsRain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 94%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 82%
Rain in Miami in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 38%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 18?
PM $24.3KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 18?Yes 53%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 40%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 8.2%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 13.2K contractsWill Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?
PM $24.1KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18?Yes 99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 13.1K contractsWill India meet its climate goals?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How low will Lake Mead drop?
PM $23.5KWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Yes 54.2%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes 32%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Yes 8.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 18, 2026?
K 12.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 58%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 36%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Manila on October 18?
PM $23.3KWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
K 12.9K contractsWill there be more than 25 tornadoes in October?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?Yes 71%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?Yes 31%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $23.3KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 18?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?Yes 32%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 18?Yes 14%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 18, 2026?
K 12.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 18?
PM $23.0KWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?
K 12.1K contractsWill Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?Yes 82.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on October 18?
PM $21.9KWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 53.5%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 12%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 48%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 19%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 11%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Moscow on October 18?
PM $21.9KWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?Yes 83%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18?Yes 17%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Moke category?
K 11.5K contractsWill Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?
PM $21.8KWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?Yes 34%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 68.5%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 31.5%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
New pandemic before 2028?
PM $21.7KNew pandemic before 2028?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 18, 2026?
K 10.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PM $20.9KWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.7%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.7%
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
K 10.1K contractsWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Dec 1, 2026)Yes 5%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Nov 1, 2026)Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 41%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong will Champi be?
PM $20.4KWill Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?Yes 67.5%
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes 28%
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee?
K 9.5K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 94%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Data Center)Yes 94%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 94%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 18?
PM $20.3KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 45.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 40.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 18?
PM $20.2KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 18?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 18?Yes 1.6%
+8 more