Politics prediction markets
6,940 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,393-1,440 of 6,940 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
K 20.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 50.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-13 House Election Winner
PM $51.4KWill the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the MI-13 House seat?Yes 0.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-26 House winner?
K 20.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-26?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-26?Yes 11%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RI-02 House Election Winner
PM $51.3KWill the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes 93.7%
Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner?
K 20.4K contractsWill Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 50.5%
Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 19.5%
Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton, Ontario mayoral election?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PM $51.3KWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.5%
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
K 20.3K contractsWill Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office?Yes 52.5%
Will Secretary of Health and Human Services be the first to leave office?Yes 41.5%
Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-52 House Election Winner
PM $51.3KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-26 House winner?
K 20.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-26?Yes 96%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-26?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-46 House Election Winner
PM $51.3KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-46 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PM $50.8K · K 58.6K contractsWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Greenland vote for independence before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.2%Rules differK Yes 2.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-05 House winner?
K 20.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-05?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-05?Yes 5.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
K 20.1K contractsWill legislation increasing New York City's property tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-03 House Election Winner
PM $50.8KWill the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?
K 20.1K contractsWill Angie Nixon win Broward County?Yes 94.5%
Will Angie Nixon win Duval County?Yes 75%
Will Angie Nixon win Hillsborough County?Yes 60.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
PM $50.7KWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes 96.9%
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes 2.9%
Will Sergio Vidigal win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Yes <0.1%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
K 20.1K contractsWill the ban on supersonic flight over land end before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 51.5%
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 46%
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before May 1, 2027?Yes 31%
3 mktsNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-01 House Election Winner
PM $50.5KWill the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
SC-07 House winner?
K 20.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SC-07?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-07?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-34 House Election Winner
PM $50.5KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes 98.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes 0.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
K 20.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 17%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
PM $50.5KWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes 98%
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Spanish general election winner?
K 20.0K contractsWho will win the next Spanish general election? (People's Party)Yes 84%
Who will win the next Spanish general election? (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party)Yes 15%
Who will win the next Spanish general election? (Vox)Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Aug 21, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
PM $50.5KWill Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Yes 59.5%
Will Mario Zamora Gastélum win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Yes 32%
Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Yes 2.7%
+18 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?
K 19.9K contractsHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (2)Yes 27%
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (0)Yes 25%
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? (3)Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-08 House Election Winner
PM $50.4KWill the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
K 19.8K contractsWill Donald Trump issue a statement about explicitly calling for John Thune to resign, step down, be replaced, or be removed from his position as Senate Majority Leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-08 House Election Winner
PM $50.3KWill the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes 96.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy
K 19.8K contractsWill Martin Short be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Matthew Rhys be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Steve Carell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-27 House Election Winner
PM $50.3KWill the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Yes 94.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts Governor margin of victory
K 19.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Massachusetts be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PM $50.3KEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Yes 0.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
K 19.7K contractsWill the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 5000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 67%
Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026?Yes 41%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-19 House Election Winner
PM $50.2KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Yes 98.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
K 19.5K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (El-Sayed)Yes 93.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Dividend / Stimulus)Yes 90%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Winner
PM $50.2KWill the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Senate election: number of rounds
K 19.5K contractsWill the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 1 rounds?Yes 39.5%
Will the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 3 rounds?Yes 38.5%
Will the 2026 Alaska Senate election consist of 2 rounds?Yes 21.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
PM $50.0KWill there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes 66.5%
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes 1.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Kash Patel departure announced?
K 19.4K contractsWill Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 16%
Will Kash Patel announce their departure as FBI Director before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-18 House Election Winner
PM $50.0KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?Yes 98%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
PM $49.9K · K 46.2K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Kalshi: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 67%Rules differK Yes 63.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Kalshi: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028?
Related contracts
PM Yes 23%Rules differK Yes 52%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?
K 19.4K contractsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 52.5%
Will Chuck Schumer be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 29.5%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Senate margin of victory
K 19.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 47%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 34.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska Senate election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 28.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate winner?
PM $49.9K · K 102.1K contractsWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Louisiana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 93.8%
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana?
Related contracts
PM Yes 7.5%Rules differK Yes 6.9%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
K 19.4K contractsWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 80.5%
Will Pedro Sánchez become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 16.5%
Will Santiago Abascal become Prime Minister of Spain following the next Spanish general election?Yes 5.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Aug 22, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-20 House Election Winner
PM $49.8KWill the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts?
K 19.3K contractsWill any federal or state court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54.5%
Will any federal or state court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 43%
Will any federal or state court rule issues a preliminary or permanent injunction prohibiting Trump Media & Technology Group from providing paying customers faster access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts than is available to the general public before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 28%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
PM $49.6KShipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 18, 2026?Yes 89%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?Yes 74.8%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC