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Showing 1,729-1,776 of 1,794 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
K 6.6 contractsWill HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 15000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 90.5%
Will HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 20000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 25000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US nominal GDP growth in 2027
K 6.4 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 0.0%?Yes 96%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 0.5%?Yes 94.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 1.0%?Yes 93%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price range on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 6.37 contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 14%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7624.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 13%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 12.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Chime active members in fiscal 2026
K 5.84 contractsWill Chime Financial, Inc. report Above 11.1 million active members in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
Will Chime Financial, Inc. report Above 11.2 million active members in fiscal 2026?Yes 86%
Will Chime Financial, Inc. report Above 11.3 million active members in fiscal 2026?Yes 63.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Burger King Double Whopper price in October
K 4.94 contractsWill the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.10?Yes 96.5%
Will the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.11?Yes 90%
Will the average U.S. price of Burger King Double Whopper for October 2026 be at least $8.12?Yes 70%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 4.5 contractsWill the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?
K 3 contractsWill the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2032
K 3 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
K 2.43 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 12pm EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?
K 2.18 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026
K 2.09 contractsWill Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 220 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 235 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 78%
Will Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. report Above 250 new customers in fiscal 2026?Yes 61%
+2 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026
K 2.02 contractsWill The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 3.5% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will The Cheesecake Factory Inc. report Above 4% comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline May 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

US trade deficit for 2031
K 2 contractsWill the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?Yes 97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?Yes 96.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2032 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026
K 2 contractsWill Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 3.5% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 60%
Will Ulta Beauty, Inc. report Above 4.5% total comparable sales in fiscal 2026?Yes 40%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials

Will Goldman Sachs acquire Palmer Square this year?
K 1.42 contractsWill Goldman Sachs announce acquisition of Palmer Square Capital Management before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
K 1.12 contractsWill BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 42.9 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 84%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.1 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 69%
Will BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. report Above 43.3 million prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jun 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials

Will Meta acquire Instinct before 2028?
K 1 contractsWill Meta announce acquisition of Instinct before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US defaults before 2030?
K 1 contractsWill the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2030 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026
K 1 contractsWill monday.com Ltd. report Above 111% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 112% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 69%
Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 113% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026?Yes 45%
+4 moreNext deadline May 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

TSA passenger screenings on Oct 18, 2026
K 1 contractsAt least 2,800,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 89%
At least 3,200,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 50%
At least 2,900,000 passengers TSA passenger screenings on October 18, 2026?Yes 49%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0.45 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be between 29000 and 29099.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 13%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29100 and 29199.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 12.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28800 and 28899.9900 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 12.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US nominal GDP growth in 2030
K 0.1 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.0%?Yes 95.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.5%?Yes 93%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 1.0%?Yes 90%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics

When will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada?
K 0 contractsWill the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

AI app downloads array index in October 2026
K 0 contractsWill AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 650?Yes 50.5%
Will AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 700?Yes 50.3%
Will AI app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 750?Yes 50.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Germany BBL Champion
K 0 contractsGermany BBL Champion: Wurzburg BasketsYes 50%
Germany BBL Champion: Ulm BasketballYes 50%
Germany BBL Champion: TBB TrierYes 50%
+15 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Taiwan rate decision in December
K 0 contractsWill the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 62%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) hike 1-12.5bps at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 34%
Will the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) hike more than 12.5bps at the December Monetary Policy Meeting?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will core CPI be above headline CPI in October?
K 0 contractsWill core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for October 2026?Yes 30.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

US crude oil exports in November
K 0 contractsWill the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.5 million barrels/day?Yes 52%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 5.0 million barrels/day?Yes 50%
Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 4.0 million barrels/day?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Will U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?
K 0 contractsWill U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?Yes 85%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

GitLab customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027
K 0 contractsWill GitLab Inc. report Above 1640 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1660 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 91%
Will GitLab Inc. report Above 1680 customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 78%
+3 moreNext deadline May 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 81.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 78%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 75%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 84%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 74.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 75.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 74.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027
K 0 contractsWill Samsara Inc. report Above 3850 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Samsara Inc. report Above 3900 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 91%
Will Samsara Inc. report Above 3950 large customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2027?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in fiscal 2026
K 0 contractsWill Klaviyo Inc. report Above 4950 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5025 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5100 customers with over $50k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 59%
+2 moreNext deadline May 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Loudoun Water data center potable water use in Q1 2027
K 0 contractsWill Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 150 million gallons?Yes 90%
Will Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 200 million gallons?Yes 80%
Will Loudoun Water data center potable water use for Q1 2027 be above 250 million gallons?Yes 48%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiEconomics

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026
K 0 contractsWill MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 96 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 91%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 97 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 84%
Will MercadoLibre, Inc. report Above 98 million fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 75%
+6 moreNext deadline May 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be below 28500 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 17%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29500 and 29599.9900 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29200 and 29299.9900 at the end of Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 11%
+27 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
K 0 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28299.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 93%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28229.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 92.5%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28189.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?Yes 92.5%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
K 0 contractsWill Netflix complete Phase 1B of Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth before Dec 21, 2028?Yes 56.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 28, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions Escalator
K 0 contractsDK Metcalf Receptions EscalatorYes 43%
Rico Dowdle Receptions EscalatorYes 41.5%
Jaylen Warren Receptions EscalatorYes 41.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions Escalator
K 0 contractsJosh Downs Receptions EscalatorYes 41.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions EscalatorYes 8.4%
Tony Pollard Receptions EscalatorYes 1.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Fantasy Ladder
K 0 contractsJosh Downs fantasy scalar ladderYes 24%
Jonathan Taylor fantasy scalar ladderYes 23%
Cam Ward fantasy scalar ladderYes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

New England vs Chicago: 1st Touchdown
K 0 contractsCHI Bears D/ST: 1st TouchdownYes 3.5%
NE Patriots D/ST: 1st TouchdownYes 3%
No Touchdown: 1st TouchdownYes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
K 0 contractsMatthew Stafford: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 94.5%
Jacoby Brissett: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 77%
Matthew Stafford: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 76%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Defensive Rookie of the Month in October
K 0 contractsDefensive Rookie of the Month in October: Zion YoungYes 47.5%
Defensive Rookie of the Month in October: Zakee WheatleyYes 47.5%
Defensive Rookie of the Month in October: Xavier NwankpaYes 47.5%
+72 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

New England vs Chicago: Touchdowns
K 0 contractsCHI Bears D/ST: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 9.5%
NE Patriots D/ST: 1+ touchdowns (Protected)Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC