Climate prediction markets
610 climate market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 145-192 of 610 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 10.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 18?
PM $21.0KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 18?Yes 99.3%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 18?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
K 10.1K contractsWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Dec 1, 2026)Yes 5%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Nov 1, 2026)Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong will Champi be?
PM $20.9KWill Champi peak as a Violent typhoon?Yes 58.5%
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes 39.5%
Will Champi peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?Yes 0.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.5K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 36%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 15%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PM $20.9KWill a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.7%
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes 99.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 8.2K contractsWill there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 39.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Milan on October 18?
PM $20.9KWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?Yes 94%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 18?Yes 6.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 23%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 15.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on October 18?
PM $20.7KWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 18?Yes 5.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
K 7.7K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.5°C?Yes 85%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 7%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 18?
PM $20.3KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 18, 2026?
K 7.1K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 18?
PM $20.3KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?Yes 99.7%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 18?Yes 0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Madison fall below 30°F before November 2026?
K 7.0K contractsWill Madison fall below 30°F from issuance through Oct 31, 2026?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 18?
PM $18.5KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 18?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 18?Yes 26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 18?Yes 21.5%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026?
K 6.9K contractsRain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 50.5%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in Houston in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 18?
PM $18.5KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 63%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 18?Yes 6.9%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 6.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 14%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
PM $17.7KWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026?
K 6.0K contractsRain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 33%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 19.5%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 18?
PM $17.6KWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Yes 38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 18?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?Yes 15%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 6.0K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 37-38° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2%
Will the minimum temperature be >42° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in October 2026
PM $17.1KWill there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 81%
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes 2.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 5.6K contractsWill Bald Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Bald Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 19?
PM $17.0KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 19?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the temperature in San Jose drop below 40°F in December 2026?Yes 78.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Singapore on October 19?
PM $16.7KWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?Yes 59.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 19?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
K 5.5K contractsSnow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 60%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 52%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?
PM $16.6KWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?Yes 25.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
K 5.5K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be at least 2.0°C?Yes 95%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.5°C and 1.9°C?Yes 6.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season be between 1.0°C and 1.4°C?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on October 19?
PM $16.4KWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 19?Yes 69.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Yes 17.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 19?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.3K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 25.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 13.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?
PM $16.4KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?Yes 0.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 16?Yes 0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 18, 2026?
K 5.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 18?
PM $16.1KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C or below on October 18?Yes <0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 4.9K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?
PM $15.4KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 17?Yes 99%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 17?Yes 1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 17?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 18, 2026?
K 4.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 75-76° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?
PM $15.2KWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 18?Yes 99.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 18?Yes 0.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 18?Yes 0.4%
+8 more
KalshiTech
When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Copper Mountain open before Nov 8, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Copper Mountain open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 50.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
PM $15.2KWill the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Yes 37.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?Yes 32.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Snowbird open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 4.8K contractsWill Snowbird open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Snowbird open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Snowbird open before Dec 20, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?
PM $14.5KWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?
K 4.5K contractsWill the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $14.1KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 22%
+8 more