Skip to main content
PredictPedia

Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories

Showing 2,449-2,496 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory

Georgia's 12th District margin of victory

K 7.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

PM $21.4K
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?

K 7.9K contracts
Will Kimberly Yee win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 52.5%
Will Teresa Leyba Ruiz win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 45%
Will Stephen Neal Jr. win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alabama Senate Election: Turnout

Alabama Senate Election: Turnout

PM $21.4K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 34.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 21.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 19.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent

NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent

K 7.9K contracts
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 5.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

PM $21.4K
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?

Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?

K 7.9K contracts
Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

K 7.9K contracts
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 35%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory

K 7.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 42.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 21%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

Next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem

PM $21.2K
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 96.7%
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 2.5%
Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes 0.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)

Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)

K 7.9K contracts
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Dave Bronson receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

PM $21.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?

Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?

K 7.9K contracts
Will Proposal 3 pass?Yes 90%
Will Proposal 4 pass?Yes 87%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

PM $21.2K
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 36%
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 34%
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 22.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?

K 7.8K contracts
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 84.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Dec 25, 2026?Yes 61.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Governor Election: Turnout

California Governor Election: Turnout

PM $21.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?Yes 34.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?Yes 8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor margin of victory

Arkansas Governor margin of victory

K 7.8K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?

First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?

K 7.8K contracts
Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?Yes 40.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner

2026 Fort Bend County Judge Election Winner

PM $21.2K
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 82.5%
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Drama Series

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Drama Series

K 7.8K contracts
Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 94.5%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 66%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

PM $21.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes 58.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes 42.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Secretary of State winner?

Iowa Secretary of State winner?

K 7.8K contracts
Will Paul D. Pate win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 80.5%
Will Ryan Peterman win the 2026 Iowa Secretary of State election?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House election: Kloud Walton vote percent

NY-25 House election: Kloud Walton vote percent

K 7.7K contracts
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 16%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 4.5%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-04 House winner?

TN-04 House winner?

K 7.7K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TN-04?Yes 97.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-04?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

PM $21.0K
Will Trump nationalize elections?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?

K 7.7K contracts
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 92%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will any state enact data center moratorium legislation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

PM $21.0K
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?

K 7.7K contracts
Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 93%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Louisiana?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.0K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-11 House winner?

FL-11 House winner?

K 7.7K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for FL-11?Yes 90.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-11?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

PM $20.9K
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-08 House winner?

PA-08 House winner?

PM $20.9K · K 193.7K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?

Related contracts

PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%

Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-8?

Related contracts

PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oklahoma Governor margin of victory

Oklahoma Governor margin of victory

K 7.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Oklahoma be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 59%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?

K 7.7K contracts
Will Jim Jordan announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will Mike Johnson announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 41%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner

PM $20.8K
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes 15.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season

Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season

K 7.6K contracts
Will Trevor Lawrence record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 92.5%
Will Jared Goff record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 92%
Will Jordan Love record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 90.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.8K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 13.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Clarence Mayoral Election Winner

Clarence Mayoral Election Winner

PM $20.8K · K 7.8K contracts

Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?

Kalshi: Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 53%

Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?

Kalshi: Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22.1%Rules differK Yes 26%

Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?

Kalshi: Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9.2%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Governor election: Jocelyn Benson vote percent

Michigan Governor election: Jocelyn Benson vote percent

K 7.6K contracts
Will Jocelyn Benson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jocelyn Benson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Jocelyn Benson receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

How many Florida mail votes will be cast?

K 7.6K contracts
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 95%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 92%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $20.8K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

K 7.6K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner

PM $20.8K
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 63.5%
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 30.5%
Will Vaughn Goettler win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 6.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC