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Politics prediction markets

6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 2,593-2,640 of 6,972 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent

Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent

K 7.1K contracts
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 80.5%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 58.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

PM $19.4K
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 74%
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 19.5%
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?

What will Hailey Bieber say during NYT DealBook Summit?

K 7.1K contracts
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Rhode)Yes 73%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Skincare / Skin Care)Yes 62%
What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Makeup)Yes 60.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.4K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-31 House winner?

TX-31 House winner?

K 7.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-31?Yes 94%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-31?Yes 5.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.4K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-06 House winner?

MD-06 House winner?

K 7.1K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-06?Yes 95.4%
Will Republican win the House race for MD-06?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.4K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-01 House winner?

OK-01 House winner?

K 7.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for OK-01?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-01?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.4K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent

MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent

K 7.1K contracts
Will Josh Smead receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Smead receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 95%
Will Josh Smead receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 86.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-14 House Election Winner

GA-14 House Election Winner

PM $19.4K
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-07 House winner?

TN-07 House winner?

K 7.1K contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TN-07?Yes 96.6%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-07?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-13 House Election Winner

TX-13 House Election Winner

PM $19.3K
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 95.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Supporting Performance in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor

Daytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Supporting Performance in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor

K 7.1K contracts
Will Sean Dominic win the Outstanding Supporting Performance in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 45.5%
Will Michael Graziadei win the Outstanding Supporting Performance in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 18.5%
Will Timon Kyle Durrett win the Outstanding Supporting Performance in a Daytime Drama Series: Actor award at the 53rd Annual Daytime Emmy Awards?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)

Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)

K 7.0K contracts
Will Bernadette Wilson receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bernadette Wilson receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bernadette Wilson receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

PM $19.3K
Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?Yes 54%
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes 3.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
John Mackey Award Winner

John Mackey Award Winner

K 7.0K contracts
Jamari Johnson wins the awardYes 19.5%
Trey'Dez Green wins the awardYes 8%
Terrance Carter Jr. wins the awardYes 6.5%
+52 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas House of Representatives winner

Texas House of Representatives winner

K 7.0K contracts
Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Republican Party)Yes 78.5%
Who will win the Texas House of Representatives? (Democratic Party)Yes 21%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa State Senate winner?

Iowa State Senate winner?

K 7.0K contracts
Who will win the Iowa State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the Iowa State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Rivers, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

PM $19.3K
Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 89.5%
Will Nuka Nwigbo win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 4%
Will Dumo Lulu-Briggs win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Saanich mayoral election winner?

Saanich mayoral election winner?

K 7.0K contracts
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 62%
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 39%
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by...?

PM $19.3K
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Yes 29%
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Yes 8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

K 7.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 44%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 16%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

PM $19.2K
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Senate winner

2028 Senate winner

K 7.0K contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Senate in 2028?Yes 53.5%
Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2028?Yes 47.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent

Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent

K 7.0K contracts
Will Tom Tiffany receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Tom Tiffany receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Tom Tiffany receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

PM $19.2K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?Yes 24.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?Yes 22%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

K 7.0K contracts
Will Kelly Morrison be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 40%
Will Angie Craig be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
Will Steve Simon be United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027?Yes 15%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

OR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?

Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?

K 7.0K contracts
Will the Maine Public Utilities Commission announce its final approval of fully executed contracts (not bidder selections or term-sheet awards) under the Northern Maine Renewable Energy Development Program covering both a transmission line into ISO-New England and at least 600 MW (nameplate) of northern Maine renewable generation delivering over it before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

PM $19.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000?Yes 31.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?Yes 25%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?Yes 22.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?

Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?

K 7.0K contracts
Will Republicans win the 2026 Senate elections in Iowa, Kansas, AND Nebraska?Yes 43.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.1K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

K 7.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 74%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 53%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory

MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.1K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-01 House winner?

IL-01 House winner?

K 6.9K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-01?Yes 96.2%
Will Republican win the House race for IL-01?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

PM $19.1K
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 40.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes 18.4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Kansas vote to require U.S. citizenship to vote?

Will Kansas vote to require U.S. citizenship to vote?

K 6.9K contracts
Will HCR 5004 pass?Yes 86.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.0K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-06 House winner?

PA-06 House winner?

K 6.9K contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-06?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for PA-06?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Liberec

Next Mayor of Liberec

PM $19.0K
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 89%
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 4%
Will Jan Hruška be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes 3.3%
+5 more
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

K 6.9K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia originally scheduled for October 24, 2026? (Stock Market)Yes 92.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

PM $19.0K
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC