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Showing 2,785-2,832 of 7,888 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
K 9.2K contractsWill it be reported that Joe Biden Using Ambien before debates?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo
PM $22.2KWill Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes 85.5%
Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?Yes 10.7%
Will Republicans sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes 1.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten: Rushing Yards Leader
K 9.1K contractsCam Edwards records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 48.5%
Turbo Richard records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34.5%
Wayne Knight records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greenland snap election called by December 31?
PM $22.1KGreenland snap election called by December 31?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
GTA VI · In-game radio artist(s) at launch
K 9.1K contractsWill Tate McRae perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 94%
Will Charli xcx perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 93%
Will Cardi B perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 85%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-02 House Election Winner
PM $22.0KWill the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?Yes 95.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $22.0K · K 57.1K contractsWill the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.7%Rules differK Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 3.6%
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.3%Rules differK Yes 3.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
K 9.1K contractsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 82%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 81%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 57.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PM $22.0KWill Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 19%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-03 House winner?
K 9.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-03?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-03?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $22.0KWill Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 68%
Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 22.9%
Will Nkwoala Emeka win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Yes 4.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?
K 9.1K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the federal government withdraws CBP officers from a U.S. international airport in response to sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $22.0KWill the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Yes 80%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Yes 70%
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Yes 62%
+1 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PM $21.9KLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
K 9.1K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?Yes 7.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PM $21.9KGreek snap election scheduled in 2026?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?
K 9.0K contractsWill SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-09 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for VA-09?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-09?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
PM $21.8KWill Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 96.1%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 2.8%
Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 0.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
K 9.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 87.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Stratford, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 56.5%
Will Jo-Dee Burbach win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 26.5%
Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
K 9.0K contractsWill Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-04 House Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-04 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
K 9.0K contractsWill John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 90.5%
Will Tom Cruise be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Seth Rogen be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 82.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-02 House Election Winner
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?Yes 98.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?Yes 0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-11 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-11?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 44%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will France declare a state of emergency?
K 9.0K contractsWill France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 13%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PM $21.7KWill Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 51.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 30%
Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes 5.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-06?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-06?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PM $21.6KWill National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes 33.5%
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Yes 26.5%
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Yes 18.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percent
K 8.9K contractsWill Frederick Haynes receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 84%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 75%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
PM $21.6KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in Q3
K 8.9K contractsWill Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 67 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 93%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 68 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 67%
Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 71 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 49.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Feb 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
PM $21.6KWill Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 10th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maine Senate and Governor Combo
PM $21.6KWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 55%
Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?Yes 41.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 22%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 5.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-08 House Election Winner
PM $21.6KWill the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes 87.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.9K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 42.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 11.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-33 House Election Winner
PM $21.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 62%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 43%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $21.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 16.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC