Culture &amp; Entertainment prediction markets

Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Yes 99.1%

"Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office

PM $22.8K

Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Yes 0.9%

Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Yes 0.7%

+3 more

The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 82.5%

The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 50.7K contracts

The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 67.5%

The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 65.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC

Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Yes 49.5%

Gwen Stacy live-action film actress?

PM $22.5K

Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Yes 26.5%

Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Yes 16.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design

K 49.7K contracts

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 13%

Will La Bola Negra win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 11.5%

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 52.5%

Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner

PM $22.3K

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 25.5%

Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 17.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 89.5%

Oscar nominees: Best Music (Original Score)

K 49.1K contracts

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (Dune: Part Three)Yes 74.5%

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 69%

+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?Yes 14.3%

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

PM $21.6K

Will larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 14%

KalshiTech

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?

K 48.2K contracts

Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%

Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?Yes 1.8%

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

PM $21.5K

2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Toy Story 5)Yes 89.5%

Oscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film

K 47.4K contracts

2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Wildwood)Yes 86%

2027 Best Animated Feature Film Oscar nominations? (Ray Gunn)Yes 67%

+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Julianne Moore be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 95.5%

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

PM $21.2K

Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 83.5%

Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 71.5%

+23 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC

Winds of Winter release date announced?Yes 9%

The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?

K 47.2K contracts

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

PM $20.7K

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 96%

How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

K 44.5K contracts

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 94.5%

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?Yes 94%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2027 UTC

Will "Mo Bamba" by Sheck Wes be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes 51%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

PM $20.5K

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes 44%

Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes 35.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 92%

Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay

K 44.0K contracts

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Project Hail Mary)Yes 77%

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 73.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?Yes 16.4%

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?

PM $20.2K

Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 31.5%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actress in a Drama Series

K 43.6K contracts

Will Carrie Coon win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 11.5%

Will Zendaya win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 9%

Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.8%

"You Can See Everything" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

PM $19.6K

Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.8%

Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 99.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 87%

Top Album on Spotify in 2026?

K 43.4K contracts

Will ARIRANG be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 4.5%

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be the #1 most streamed Album on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Albums Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 3%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes 16.5%

Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?

PM $19.5K

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 2 weeks)Yes 3%

KalshiTech

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)

K 43.4K contracts

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 3 weeks)Yes 2.5%

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? (More than 7 weeks)Yes 2%

+6 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2027 UTC

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 87.1%

"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

PM $19.1K

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 76.5%

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 47%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 21, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Taylor Swift Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (Oct 24, 2026)

K 43.2K contracts

How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 1 song)Yes 99.5%

How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 9 songs)Yes 0.5%

How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 24, 2026? (Exactly 8 songs)Yes 0.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 96%

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

PM $18.9K

Will Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 84.5%

Will Javier Ambrossi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 82%

+26 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 38%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Original Screenplay

K 42.9K contracts

Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 26%

Will Artificial win Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7%

Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?Yes 96%

"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?

PM $18.9K

Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?Yes 95.6%

Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Yes 94%

+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 24, 2026?

PM $18.2K · K 253 contracts

Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24?

Kalshi: Will DANDELION be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 24, 2026

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 50%

Will "Drake - HABIBTI (FOMO)" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24?

Kalshi: Will HABIBTI be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 24, 2026

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 50%

Will "Troye Sivan - She's the Best" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 24?

Kalshi: Will She's the Best be #2 on the Billboard 200 during the week of Oct 24, 2026

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 50%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)

K 42.8K contracts

Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%

Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 97%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?Yes 46.5%

Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?

K 42.2K contracts

Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?Yes 77.5%

Miles Morales live-action film actor?

PM $18.1K

Will Alex R. Hibbert be the live-action Miles Morales?Yes 11%

Will Dallas Dupree Young be the live-action Miles Morales?Yes 5.7%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 75%

Oscar Winner: Best Animated Feature Film

K 42.0K contracts

Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 8.5%

Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?Yes 4.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes 97.9%

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20)

PM $18.0K

Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes 0.4%

Will "Tyson: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes 0.1%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 42.5%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor

K 41.7K contracts

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15.5%

Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15.5%

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 93.5%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

PM $17.8K

Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 80%

Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 77%

+9 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC

Will David Harbour win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 58%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

K 41.5K contracts

Will Hoon Lee win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 17.5%

Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7.5%

Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?Yes 8.8%

Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?

PM $16.6K

Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?Yes 6%

Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?Yes 2.6%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will What You Need win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 44.5%

Grammy Winner: Best R&B Solo Performance

K 41.0K contracts

Will The Feeling win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 18.5%

Will Out The Window win Best R&B Solo Performance at the Grammys?Yes 16.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes 0.8%

Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?

PM $16.0K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Tyler, The Creator have 4100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 88.5%

Tyler, The Creator Streams in 2026

K 40.3K contracts

Will Tyler, The Creator have 3800000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%

Will Tyler, The Creator have 3700000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC

Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 56%

CMA Music Video of the Year 2026

PM $15.7K

Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 22%

Will “White Horse” by Chris Stapleton win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes 16%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

Will Elder Scrolls VI be released before 2028?Yes 13%

When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?

K 40.2K contracts

Will Elder Scrolls VI be released before 2027?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Yes 5%

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

PM $15.6K