Browse prediction markets

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?Yes 34.5%

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?

K 5.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC

Will The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Drama Series

K 5.4K contracts

Will Paradise be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 78.5%

Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 23%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Florida's 26th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.9%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 30%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.7%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 23?

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 96.9%

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?Yes 86.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

AL-05 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for AL-05?Yes 94%

Will Democratic win the House race for AL-05?Yes 5.5%

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 32.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 23.8%

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

Will California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member be charged with a fraud crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Alabama Senate winner?

PM $13.2K · K 14.2K contracts

Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alabama?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 97.5%

Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.7%Rules differK Yes 2.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent

Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%

Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 96%

Will Stacy Garrity receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 86%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

CT-01 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 95.5%

Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 4.7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

FL-01 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for FL-01?Yes 96.7%

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-01?Yes 3.5%

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 82.5%

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 15.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 51%

Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 30%

Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent

Will Cody Whipple receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 90%

Will Cody Whipple receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 79%

Will Cody Whipple receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 64%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

MO-03 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MO-03?Yes 96.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for MO-03?Yes 2.7%

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%

TX-14 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-14?Yes 95.4%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-14?Yes 3.3%

Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?

Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 98.5%

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC

Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 73.5%

Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 7%

Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

IA-03 House winner?

PM $13.0K · K 85.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for IA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for IA-3?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 68.5%

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 50%

Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 31%

+3 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Vocal Album

Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)Yes 95.5%

Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.)Yes 63.5%

Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (The Romantic)Yes 50%

+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.6%

KalshiWorld

Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?

Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44%

Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%

Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner

Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 77%

Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 1.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

Will the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 81%

Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 18%

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 35%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

UT-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for UT-04?Yes 96.2%

Will Democratic win the House race for UT-04?Yes 4%

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes 15%

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes 9%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 91.9%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

OH-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 28.8%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.7%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV

Will Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%

Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%

Will Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 80%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC

MN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 35%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27.5%

FL-06 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for FL-06?Yes 96.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?Yes 3.4%

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?