Politics prediction markets
6,972 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 3,505-3,552 of 6,972 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
UT-03 House election: Cassie Easley vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Cassie Easley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Cassie Easley receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 63.5%
Will Cassie Easley receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 41.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?
PM $11.4KWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 30.5%
Will Democrats win 9 or more House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 26%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Cape Verde presidential election winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill PAICV win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 85%
Will MpD win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 15%
Will UCID win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.3K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 19%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-05 House winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-05?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-05?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 39.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 06 House General Election be above 100000?Yes 58%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-10 House winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-10?Yes 94.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10?Yes 5.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Robert Murray receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Robert Murray receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.2KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 27%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
K 4.0K contractsWho will win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election? (Robert G. Luna)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election? (Alex Villanueva)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.3%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 65%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 49%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 10th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 33%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 4.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1150000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1220000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1290000?Yes 72.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
K 4.0K contractsWill the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 31.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1.5% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 2% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 79%
+4 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 57.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 18.5%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MS-03 House winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MS-03?Yes 97.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-03?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances sent in 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $550 billion?Yes 70.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 56.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 27th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 25.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 13.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4.6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
K 4.0K contractsWill the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 95.5%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 90%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 41.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Green Presidential nominee
K 4.0K contractsWill Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 28%
Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 11%
Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-03 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for KY-03?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for KY-03?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 56.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 19%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 33%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 19%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner
PM $11.0KWill Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 87%
Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 7.5%
Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 1.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 22.5%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000?Yes 23.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be less than 2,400,000?Yes 12.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-04 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-04?Yes 94.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-04?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PM $10.9KWill the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 70%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 25.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PM $10.9KWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 21st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 15.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate?
K 3.9K contractsWhat will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Budget / Deficit)Yes 84%
What will any participating candidate say during Iowa Press Debates: Governor originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Data Center)Yes 83.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC