Browse prediction markets

TX-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-04?Yes 96%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform

Will Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 75.5%

Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%

Will Addison Rae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40%

+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Yes 0.6%

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

PM $11.9K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Alani Bankhead drop out?

Will Alani Bankhead drop out of the 2026 Montana Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 35.5%

AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.8K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.6%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%

PM $11.8K · K 8.4K contracts

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CT-05 House winner?

Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for CT-5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 95.9%Rules differK Yes 94.9%

Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for CT-5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 4.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

Will SNS-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 51.5%

Will Student-backed candidate win the next Serbian presidential election?Yes 50%

2 mktsNext deadline Dec 27, 2027 UTC

AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent

Will Shomari Figures receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 96%

Will Shomari Figures receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 92.5%

Will Shomari Figures receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-02 House election?Yes 82.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.8K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?

Will Sheldon Whitehouse be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 54%

Will Mike Lee be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31.5%

Will Ted Cruz be the next chair of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 11%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.3%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?

Will Sara Duterte be out as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Vermont Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 70%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 56%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Vermont be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 44%

+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 28.9%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 18%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.3%

Alabama Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 92.1%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 83%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Alabama be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 76.5%

+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 20.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 13.5%

KalshiEconomics

How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?

Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.50%?Yes 58%

Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.75%?Yes 50%

Will the 30-Yr FRM in 2027 go above 9.25%?Yes 50%

+10 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2028 UTC

MT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 37.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percent

Will Claire Valdez receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 96%

Will Claire Valdez receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 91.5%

Will Claire Valdez receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-07 House election?Yes 77.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 40%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be 1,200,000 or more?Yes 26%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?Yes 15.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?Yes 34.5%

1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC

Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 96.5%

Next Mayor of Cape Town?

PM $11.6K

Will Nontando Nolutshungu be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%

Will Ernest Theron be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes 1%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Drama Series

Will The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%

Will Paradise be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%

Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 71%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%

MD-06 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.6K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?Yes 23%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.4%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?

PM $11.6K · K 3.5K contracts

Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will SDA win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.3%Rules differK Yes 61%

Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will NiP win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.4%Rules differK Yes 50%

Will HDZ BiH win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?

Kalshi: Will HDZ BiH win the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 42.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.2%

Florida's 26th District margin of victory

K 5.3K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78%

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

K 5.3K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.5K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%