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Showing 3,313-3,360 of 7,164 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
FL-06 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-06?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-06?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PM $13.4KJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percent
K 5.2K contractsWill Jerri Green receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jerri Green receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill George McDermott receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 98%
Will George McDermott receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will George McDermott receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 88%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-25 House election: Jared Moskowitz vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Jared Moskowitz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-25 House election?Yes 88.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 14.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 5.1K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3700000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 3900000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Ohio Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 74%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $13.3KWill White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes <0.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Adam Gray receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 96%
Will Adam Gray receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV
K 5.1K contractsWill Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Jon Patterson)Yes 56.5%
Who will win the 2026 Missouri State Senate District 8 general election? (Keri Ingle)Yes 45%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PM $13.2KWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-20 House winner?
K 5.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for CA-20?Yes 96.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-20?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.2KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 37.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 35%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 13.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 7th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 54.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 5.1K contractsWill the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 61%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $40M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
Will the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $25M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
PM $13.2KCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
K 5.1K contractsWill it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 13th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 7th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 6.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 42.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
K 5.1K contractsWill Ilhan Omar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ilhan Omar receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-05 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Alabama Senate winner?
PM $13.2K · K 14.2K contractsWill the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2.4%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida State Senate winner?
K 5.1K contractsWho will win the Florida Senate? (Republican party)Yes 97.5%
Who will win the Florida Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-01 House Election Winner
PM $13.2KWill the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Kelly Ayotte receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 96%
Will Kelly Ayotte receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
PM $13.1KFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.1%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Brian Miller receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 69.5%
Will Brian Miller receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MT-02 House election?Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.1KWill Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 51%
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 30%
Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 30%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 21%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.1KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 52%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 39%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?
K 5.0K contractsWill Jon Ossoff outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Attorney General winner?
K 5.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 92.3%
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?Yes 7.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
PM $13.1KAbiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
British Columbia general election: 2nd place
PM $13.1K · K 20.5K contractsWill NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will BC NDP finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 81.5%Rules differK Yes 77%
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will BC Conservatives finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 15%
Will OneBC win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Kalshi: Will OneBC finish 2nd in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
K 5.0K contractsWill State Question 847 pass?Yes 49.5%
Will State Question 845 pass?Yes 49.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent
K 5.0K contractsWill Tom Stalcup receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.0KWill Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 73.5%
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 8.5%
Will Muhammad Bello Dalhatu win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC