GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Name: Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$55.28K

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Markets

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Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Vol

$55.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $55.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $55.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	30%
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	27%
Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$55.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambig

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambig

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by De"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $55.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $218.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Raymundo Vázquez Conchas win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $619
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Danae Figueroa win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics