GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$22.23K

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Markets

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Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$22.23K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $22.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	38%
Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	22%
Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	17%
Will Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	8%
Will Gabriela Paliza Romero win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	7%
Will Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	7%
Will Iván Hurtado Villafuerte win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	6%
Will Jesyka Guevara Villanueva win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	5%
Will Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Eulogio Tapia Deza win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	3%
Will Eduardo Zans Loayza win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	3%
Will Jorge Luis Segura Ttito win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	2%
Will Federico Huamán Tapara win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$22.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resoluti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resoluti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed befor"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $66.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jorge Luis Segura Ttito win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gabriela Paliza Romero win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $196
  DATA: [Yes: 21.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Iván Hurtado Villafuerte win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $169
  DATA: [Yes: 7.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $127
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Eulogio Tapia Deza win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $143
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jesyka Guevara Villanueva win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $184
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $14.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Federico Huamán Tapara win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Eduardo Zans Loayza win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics