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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner

Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
Vol

PM $28.9K

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Events

1

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Markets

14

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 96.9%.

Polymarket

  1. Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar96.9%
  2. Federico Huamán Tapara4.7%
  3. Iván Hurtado Villafuerte2.5%
  4. William Peña Farfán2.5%
  5. Sergio Sullca Condori2.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $28.9K

Reported volume · provider units

14

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Polymarket event "Cusco Mayoral Election Winner" resolves according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of the 2026 election [1]. The rules say the election "is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026" [1]. That date appears in the contract wording. It is not evidence of an announced event, and this evidence does not confirm it. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election are excluded [1].

The primary resolution source is "a consensus of credible reporting." If the result is ambiguous, the market uses official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (JNE) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) [1]. If the election is annulled or its result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

Each candidate appears as a separate Yes or No market. Each listed end time is 2026-10-05T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That listed close time differs from the election date written in the rules, and the excerpt does not explain the relationship between them.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T06:02:37.681Z [1]. These prices describe that saved snapshot. They are not live quotes. The listing shows status "active," but its listed end time is earlier than the observation time, so the current status should be checked with the provider.

At observation, the Yes price for Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar was 0.5015 and for Sergio Sullca Condori was 0.074 [1]. William Peña Farfán was 0.0595, Federico Huamán Tapara 0.0525, and Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 0.04 [1]. The remaining included candidates ranged from 0.0165 down to 0.0005 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The excerpt contains no volume data, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of traders.

This is a partial sample. Twelve of 14 markets from this provider event are included [1]. The selection ranks markets by Yes price, so the two omitted markets are not shown. The evidence does not report their prices, so they should not be inferred from the included ranking. The sample comes from one provider event, so no cross-platform comparison is supported.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the election has taken place, what its result was, or what reporting has followed. It also does not explain why any price is where it is. Treat the snapshot as a record of one retrieval, not as a description of current conditions. Because the "Other" outcome and the two omitted candidates are absent from the included prices, a reader cannot compare the full field from this excerpt.

References

  1. Polymarket: Cusco Mayoral Election Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Overview

The Cusco Mayoral Election Winner contract is a Polymarket event about the 2026 mayoral election for the Provincial Municipality of Cusco, Peru. The contract rules as saved state that the election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026 [1]. That date comes from the rules text and is not evidence that the election has taken place or that its result is known. The event includes separate Yes or No markets for individual candidates. It resolves according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election [1]. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election are not considered [1]. If the election is annulled, or if its result is not known by June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity in the results, the rules direct resolution to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (JNE) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-05T03:59:00.000Z [1]. In the saved price snapshot, the Yes price for the market on Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar was 0.5015, and the Yes price for the market on Sergio Sullca Condori was 0.074 [1]. These figures are snapshot prices from one observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market will resolve.

Why It Matters

The contract measures which candidate will become the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco following the scheduled 2026 election [1]. Its wording gives weight to the outcome that actually takes office. Placeholder or interim mayors appointed before the vote do not count toward the answer [1]. The fallback to "Other" for an annulled election or an unknown result by the stated deadline means the contract can resolve without any listed candidate winning [1]. Readers should therefore read the rules, not only the candidate names, to understand what each contract pays on.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a Yes price on one candidate's market represent?

In this snapshot, the Yes price is the price recorded for that candidate's market at the observation time [1]. The price is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1].

What happens if the election is annulled?

If the election is annulled, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

What happens if the result is not known by the deadline?

If the result of the election is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

Which sources decide the outcome?

The primary source is a consensus of credible reporting. If the results are ambiguous, the market resolves according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE and ONPE [1].

Does the price sample include every candidate in the event?

No. The saved sample includes 12 of the 14 markets in this event, so it is a partial sample [1]. The prices of the two omitted markets are not shown, so no conclusion can be drawn about them.

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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