GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Zacatecas Governor Election Winner

Name: Zacatecas Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$28.88K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Zacatecas Governor Election Winner

Vol

$28.88K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $28.88K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $28.88K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	48%
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	46%
Will José Narro Céspedes win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Carlos Peña Badillo win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Arturo Nahle García win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Carlos Alberto Puente Salas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$28.88K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is amb

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Zacatecas Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is amb

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $28.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $168.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will José Narro Céspedes win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $260
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $312
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $241
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $310
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $269
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Carlos Alberto Puente Salas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Carlos Peña Badillo win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $236
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Arturo Nahle García win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $269
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics