This contract is a multi-candidate market on the winner of the 2027 gubernatorial election in Zacatecas, Mexico. The provider event is titled "Zacatecas Governor Election Winner" and is listed under politics [1]. Each candidate has a separate Yes or No contract. A Yes contract asks whether that named person will win the election, and the Yes price in each contract is the saved snapshot figure for that contract. The election itself is scheduled. Wikipedia describes the 2027 Mexican local elections as scheduled for 6 June 2027, held concurrently with the 2027 federal elections, with voters electing 17 governors, members of 31 local congresses, and numerous municipal authorities [2]. The contract rules give the same election date, stating that gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled for Zacatecas on June 6, 2027 [1]. A scheduled date in the rules describes when the vote is planned to take place. It is not a report that the vote has occurred. The contract rules define the outcome. The market resolves according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial election, and any interim or caretaker governor does not qualify [1]. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves on official results reported by government sources of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Zacatecas and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico [1]. If results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time for these contracts is 2027-06-07T03:59:00Z [1]. That is a contract closing time. It is separate from the election date and from the time a result is confirmed. The saved event contains 16 candidate markets, and 12 are included in the sample shown here [1]. The provider's selection rule includes up to 12 markets per event, ordered by Yes price and then volume. Because the sample is partial, the omitted candidates are not known to be lower priced in any meaningful sense, and the included markets should not be read as the full field. Prices in the snapshot are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and volume does not measure liquidity or the number of traders.

Historical Context

Zacatecas has held gubernatorial elections before. Wikipedia reports that gubernatorial elections were held in fourteen Mexican states on Sunday, July 4, 2010, simultaneously with other state and local elections, and that Zacatecas was among the states with a governor election that day [3]. That history covers 2010 only. The source does not describe the 2027 field, campaigns, or candidate positions, so those points are not covered here.

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