GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Name: Querétaro Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$24.10K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Vol

$24.10K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $24.10K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $24.10K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	37%
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	31%
Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	23%
Will Teresa Calzada Rovirosa win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Laura Patricia Polo Herrera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Abigail Arredondo Ramos win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will José María Tapia Franco win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Josué Guerrero Trápala win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Mario Mauro Ramírez González win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Ricardo Astudillo Suárez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Manuel Garrido Patrón win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Paul Ospital Carrera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Gilberto Herrera Ruiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Agustín Hernández Ortiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Paulina Aguado Romero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$24.10K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is amb

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Querétaro Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is amb

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $221.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gilberto Herrera Ruiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $560
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $665
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will José María Tapia Franco win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $556
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Laura Patricia Polo Herrera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $606
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Agustín Hernández Ortiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $560
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mario Mauro Ramírez González win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $950
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ricardo Astudillo Suárez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $480
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $613
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $599
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $599
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Josué Guerrero Trápala win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $472
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Paulina Aguado Romero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Teresa Calzada Rovirosa win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $507
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Manuel Garrido Patrón win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Paul Ospital Carrera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $562
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Abigail Arredondo Ramos win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $470
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics