This PredictPedia contract asks which candidate will win the South Carolina Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 election. The market is part of a provider event titled "South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner," and the source states that South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary on January 22, 2028 [1]. The word "expected" matters here: that date comes from the contract's background text and is not a confirmed announcement by the state party. The contract resolves to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process through which the public directs the selection of delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention [1]. If the delegate selection process is a caucus or another multi-round process, the final round vote count is the relevant count [1]. Candidates are ranked by valid votes received, and ties are broken by alphabetical order of last names. The candidate in the highest finishing position after that ranking is the winner [1]. The contract includes a fallback. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The resolution source is the first official announcement of complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice [1]. The provider lists an end time of January 23, 2028 at 04:59 UTC for these markets, and the provider status is active [1]. That listed end time is a contract field, not an announced event date. Separately, the provider's market data was observed at 00:00 UTC on October 16, 2026, and the retrieval time for the event page is recorded in the snapshot, so any prices described here reflect that earlier observation rather than live trading. Each market in this event is a separate Yes or No contract on one named candidate. A Yes price in these snapshots is the price of that candidate's contract, which reflects trading activity at the observation time. Prices are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. Trading volume measures activity, not liquidity or the number of participants.

Historical Context

South Carolina has held Democratic presidential nominating contests in earlier cycles. The 2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary took place on February 27, 2016, and it marked the Democratic Party's fourth nominating contest in its series of presidential primaries ahead of that election [2]. This is historical background from an encyclopedia entry, not a current report. For the 2028 cycle, the Democratic Party is organizing presidential primaries and caucuses to select delegates to the 2028 Democratic National Convention, which will determine the party's nominee in the 2028 election. The source states that these contests will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. territories, and through Democrats Abroad [3]. That description is a general plan from an encyclopedia page, and it does not confirm the schedule or format of the South Carolina contest.

Frequently Asked Questions