GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-04T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.05K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$26.05K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.05K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.05K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	37%
Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	18%
Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	16%
Will Julio César De La Rosa Luján win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	7%
Will Ronald Omar Venero Arango win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	5%
Will Jesús Armando Contreras Lazo win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Jorge James Pérez Rosas win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	4%
Will Yody Sandro Leonides Nájera win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	1%
Will Paulo César Beltrán Ponce win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%
Will Albino Aguirre Pacheco win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$26.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Huancayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Huancayo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 4, 2026 (30 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 Huancayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Huancayo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Huancayo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Huancayo as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $58.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.44)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $645
  DATA: [Yes: 17.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yody Sandro Leonides Nájera win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Julio César De La Rosa Luján win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $565
  DATA: [Yes: 7.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wilmer Isac Canales Ascona win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $442
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jesús Armando Contreras Lazo win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $455
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jorge James Pérez Rosas win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $314
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $17.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Albino Aguirre Pacheco win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $325
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Paulo César Beltrán Ponce win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $285
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ronald Omar Venero Arango win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 4, 2026): Vol $619
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics