Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event asks which candidate will become the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Huancayo, and each candidate has a separate Yes or No contract [1]. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election are excluded [1]. The primary resolution source is described as "a consensus of credible reporting," with official Peruvian information from the JNE and ONPE used if the result is ambiguous [1]. If the election is annulled, or its result is not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The contract text says the election is "currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026" [1]. That is wording from the rules, not a confirmed event in this record.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the event at 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T00:52:56Z [1]. These are times of recording, not the current state of the market. The listed end time is 2026-10-05T03:59:00Z, which precedes the observation time, yet every market is recorded with status "active" [1]. Readers should note this conflict and check the provider before drawing conclusions about whether the contracts are open.

At observation, the Yes price for Emerson Nolasco Delgado was 0.726. The other Yes prices were 0.0565 for Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez, 0.0395 for Jorge James Pérez Rosas, 0.005 for Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez, and 0.0005 for seven other candidates [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each contract is a separate binary market, so the prices should not be averaged or compared as a single distribution. The saved event includes all 11 of its markets, but the sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The listed Yes prices sum to about 0.83, and the record does not explain the remainder. The record also includes no volume figures, so it says nothing about liquidity.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not report the election result, whether voting took place, or any reporting after the snapshot. It does not include trader counts, volume, or explanations for the prices. Because the listed end time precedes the observation time while the status reads active, the current state of these contracts cannot be determined from this record. No other platform appears in this evidence, so differences in wording across platforms cannot be assessed here.

References

1. Polymarket: Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.