Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

Total Volume

$92.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

Vol

$92.39K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $92.39K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $92.39K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?	Kalshi	86%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?	Kalshi	43%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?	Kalshi	19%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?	Kalshi	6%
Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$92.39K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado. This counts housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in 1-unit, 2-unit, 3-unit, 4-unit, and 5-or-more-unit structures. Resolutio

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado. This counts housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in 1-unit, 2-unit, 3-unit, 4-unit, and 5-or-more-unit structures. Resolutio

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 38,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $92.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 3, 2027): Vol $23.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 3, 2027): Vol $10.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 3, 2027): Vol $13.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 3, 2027): Vol $30.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 3, 2027): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

Volume$92.39K

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a

KALSHI

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 32,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a

KALSHI

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 34,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a

KALSHI

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 36,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a

KALSHI

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 38,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units a

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Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

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Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

Markets (5)

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

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Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Colorado permitted housing units in 2026

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 30,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 32,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 34,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 36,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

Will the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 be above 38,000?

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