Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Total Volume

$121.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Vol

$121.83K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $121.83K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $121.83K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?	Kalshi	79%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?	Kalshi	74%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?	Kalshi	53%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?	Kalshi	40%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?	Kalshi	25%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,100 units?	Kalshi	18%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,200 units?	Kalshi	13%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,300 units?	Kalshi	8%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,400 units?	Kalshi	7%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,600 units?	Kalshi	5%
Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,500 units?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$121.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above X units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont, across all structure types. Resolution will use the first finalized annual 2026 figure published by the U.S. Census Bureau. Preliminary monthly and year-to-date estimates will not determine the market. This m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above X units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont, across all structure types. Resolution will use the first finalized annual 2026 figure published by the U.S. Census Bureau. Preliminary monthly and year-to-date estimates will not determine the market. This m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,600 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $121.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,600 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,500 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,400 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,300 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,200 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,100 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $14.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $14.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $22.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Volume$121.83K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,600 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve

KALSHI

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,700 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve

KALSHI

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,800 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve

KALSHI

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,900 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve

KALSHI

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Ve

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29¢

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Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

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Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Markets (11)

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

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Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,600 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,700 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,800 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 1,900 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

Will privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in 2026 be above 2,000 units?

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