Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Total Volume

$124.38K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Vol

$124.38K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $124.38K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $124.38K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?	Kalshi	54%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?	Kalshi	34%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?	Kalshi	19%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?	Kalshi	12%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?	Kalshi	6%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 6,000 units?	Kalshi	5%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 6,500 units?	Kalshi	4%
Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 7,000 units?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$124.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above X units, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “multifamily” means housing units in structures containing 5 units or more, corresponding to the BPS column labeled “5 Units or More.” Units in 2-unit and 3–4-unit structures will not be included. The Underlying is the final annual

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above X units, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “multifamily” means housing units in structures containing 5 units or more, corresponding to the BPS column labeled “5 Units or More.” Units in 2-unit and 3–4-unit structures will not be included. The Underlying is the final annual

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 7,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $124.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 7,000 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 6,500 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 6,000 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $23.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 10, 2027): Vol $17.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Volume$124.38K

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me

KALSHI

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 4,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me

KALSHI

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 4,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me

KALSHI

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 5,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me

KALSHI

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 5,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “multifamily” me

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17¢

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Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

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Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Markets (8)

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

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Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 3,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 4,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,000 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

Will the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in 2026 be above 5,500 units?

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