GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

Name: San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
End: 2027-06-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.16K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

Vol

$37.16K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.16K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.16K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	63%
Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	9%
Will Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	8%
Will Carlos Arreola Mallol win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	8%
Will Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	6%
Will Josefina Salazar Báez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	5%
Will Marvely Costanzo Rangel win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Daniel Montelongo win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Verónica Rodríguez Hernández win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	4%
Will Ana Dora Cabrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	2%
Will Sara Rocha Medina win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Enrique Galindo Ceballos win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	1%
Will Ricardo Gallardo Juárez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Rita Ozalia Rodríguez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Antonio Lorca Valle win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Marco Antonio Gama Basarte win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Rubén Guajardo Barrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%
Will Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$37.16K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 6, 2027 (275 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known defi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $198.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $26.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ricardo Gallardo Juárez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $355
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $303
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $757
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Carlos Arreola Mallol win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $403
  DATA: [Yes: 7.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Rita Ozalia Rodríguez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $318
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $470
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Daniel Montelongo win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $472
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Aid Ávila Covarrubias win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ana Dora Cabrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Antonio Lorca Valle win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $303
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Enrique Galindo Ceballos win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Sara Rocha Medina win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Rubén Guajardo Barrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $287
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Verónica Rodríguez Hernández win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $327
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Marco Antonio Gama Basarte win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $307
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Marvely Costanzo Rangel win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Josefina Salazar Báez win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 6, 2027): Vol $342
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics