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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028
Vol

PM $3.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

20

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jon Ossoff at 24%.

Polymarket

  1. Jon Ossoff24%
  2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%
  3. Stephen A. Smith18%
  4. Pete Buttigieg9.5%
  5. Andy Beshear8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.4K

Reported volume · provider units

20

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 Nevada primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Democratic convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

Nevada Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 2.2K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 25%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 17.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Nevada Democratic primary?Yes 12.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Democratic primary debate be?

K 0 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 86%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) as a 2028 Democratic presidential primary debate takes place before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 79%
+5 moreNext deadline May 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many candidates will win a 2028 Democratic primary?

How many candidates will win a 2028 Democratic primary?

K 0.02 contracts
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 2 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 3 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 60.5%
Will the number of different people who win a 2028 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in a U.S. state or D.C. be at least 4 by Aug 31, 2028?Yes 30.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

Kentucky Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 4.3K contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 15%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Kentucky Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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