How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026?
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How many Harris-won districts will Republicans win in 2026?
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 1 at 80%.
Kalshi
- At least 180%
- At least 254%
- At least 334%
- At least 421%
- At least 68%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
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Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
November 3, 2026 If the number of Republican U.S. House members elected from the 201 districts that Kamala Harris carried in 2024 is at least X at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying districts are the 201 in which Harris received more votes than Trump in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts. X district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Republican, including as preferring the Republican Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?
PM $51.3K · K 32.8K contractsWill Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?
Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Same question, fine print differs
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?
Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Same question, fine print differs
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?
Kalshi: Will the number of 2026 U.S. Senate (including special elections) and gubernatorial general elections, held in the 19 states that Kamala Harris carried in the 2024 presidential election, won by a nominee of the Republican Party be exactly 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
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