Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?

French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
Vol

PM $4.7K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

18

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Bruno Retailleau at 47%.

Polymarket

  1. Bruno Retailleau47%
  2. David Lisnard30%
  3. Édouard Philippe19%
  4. Raphaël Glucksmann13%
  5. Jean-Luc Mélenchon6.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $4.7K

Reported volume · provider units

18

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. To appear on the ballot, candidates must be presented by at least 500 eligible elected officials (“parrainages”), whose presentations are validated and published by the French Constitutional Council. The deadline for submitting presentations is currently expected to be March 12, 2027, at 6:00 PM local time. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid presentations (parrainages) from elected officials for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election, according to the final tally published by the French Constitutional Council. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If no final tally of valid presentations is published by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $159.40M · K 1.46M contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 93.2%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 43.1%Rules differK Yes 95%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

247 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

PM $1.15M · K 81.4K contracts

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? (Javier Milei)

Related contracts

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Javier Milei win the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 56.5%

Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Axel Kicillof win the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 53.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

40 saved comparisonsNext deadline Sep 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 196.7K contracts
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 37.5%
Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 33.5%
Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 8.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 170.6K contracts
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 27.5%
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 20.5%
Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 14.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

PM $118.1K
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 72%
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 28%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes 15%
+12 moreNext deadline Apr 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

K 25.3K contracts
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?Yes 12.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?Yes 10.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market