Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $565.1K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

PM $565.1K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Rafael López Aliaga at 76.1%.

Polymarket

Rafael López Aliaga76.1%
Francis James Allison Oyague3.1%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca0.3%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli0.1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León<0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

23 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	76.1%
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	3.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	0.3%
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	0.1%
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $565.1K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $565.1K
Coverage: 23 of 23 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081900; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-santiago-rosendo-abarca-leon-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000903
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081901; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-isael-rubio-idrogo-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000904
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $9.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081902; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-daniel-belizario-urresti-elera-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000905
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.0K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081903; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-luis-alberto-huette-tolentino-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000906
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081904; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-edgardo-renan-de-pomar-vizcarra-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000907
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081905; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sandro-caller-gutierrez-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000908
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081906; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jessica-viviana-linares-romero-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000909
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081907; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ruben-jose-ramirez-mateo-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000910
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081908; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elizabeth-maria-del-rosario-leon-chinchay-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000911
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.4K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081909; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-victoria-betzabe-la-cruz-garces-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000912
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.7K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081910; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carlos-ricardo-bruce-montes-de-oca-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000913
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $96.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081911; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ricardo-pablo-belmont-cassinelli-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000914
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $15.0K
Outcome Yes: 0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081912; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flor-de-maria-hurtado-valdez-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000915
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081913; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-oswaldo-hernan-vargas-cuellar-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000916
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.5K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081914; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ruben-daniel-bonilla-espinoza-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000917
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.2K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081915; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-samuel-marcos-daza-taype-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000918
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.1K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081916; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-segundo-valdez-zavala-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000919
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081917; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-samir-frank-quispe-caballero-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000920
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081918; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-yehude-simon-munaro-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000921
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $10.2K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081919; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-francis-james-allison-oyague-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000922
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $169.2K
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081920; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-susel-ana-maria-paredes-pique-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000923
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.3K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081921; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-carlos-alberto-tejada-noriega-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections-20260724154000924
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.4K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Contract: Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3081922; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-rafael-lopez-aliaga-win-the-next-lima-mayoral-elections
Observed: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $185.2K
Outcome Yes: 76.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 23.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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