GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Turkish presidential election winner?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Turkish presidential election winner?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)	Kalshi	53%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)	Kalshi	12%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)	Kalshi	8%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)	Kalshi	4%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Sinan Oğan)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Muharrem İnce)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Müsavat Dervişoğlu)	Kalshi	3%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ümit Özdağ)	Kalshi	2%
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Fatih Erbakan)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Next presidential election If X Y wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Turkish presidential election winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Next presidential election

If X Y wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Ümit Özdağ wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ümit Özdağ)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Sinan Oğan)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Muharrem İnce)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Müsavat Dervişoğlu)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Fatih Erbakan)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Turkish presidential election winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.4¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

If Ekrem İmamoğlu wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

If Ahmet Davutoğlu wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

If Mansur Yavaş wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

If Ali Babacan wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

10¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/c4L564" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Turkish presidential election winner?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Turkish presidential election winner?

Turkish presidential election winner?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Turkish presidential election winner?

Markets (10)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Turkish presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Recep Tayyip Erdoğan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ekrem İmamoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ahmet Davutoğlu)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Mansur Yavaş)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? (Ali Babacan)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget